Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nantes win with a probability of 46.69%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 28.15% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nantes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.3%) and 2-0 (8.08%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 0-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Montpellier HSC would win this match.
Result | ||
Nantes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
46.69% (![]() | 25.16% (![]() | 28.15% |
Both teams to score 53.96% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
50.84% | 49.16% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
28.77% | 71.23% (![]() |
Nantes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.92% | 21.08% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.1% (![]() | 53.89% (![]() |
Montpellier HSC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.38% | 31.62% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.97% (![]() | 68.03% |
Score Analysis |
Nantes | Draw | Montpellier HSC |
1-0 @ 10.37% 2-1 @ 9.3% 2-0 @ 8.08% 3-1 @ 4.83% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.19% 3-2 @ 2.78% 4-1 @ 1.88% 4-0 @ 1.63% 4-2 @ 1.08% Other @ 2.54% Total : 46.68% | 1-1 @ 11.94% 0-0 @ 6.67% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.35% 3-3 @ 1.07% Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.15% | 0-1 @ 7.67% 1-2 @ 6.88% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.42% 1-3 @ 2.64% 2-3 @ 2.06% 0-3 @ 1.7% Other @ 2.79% Total : 28.15% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 37 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 87 | 37 | 50 | 85 |
2 | Lens | 37 | 24 | 9 | 4 | 65 | 28 | 37 | 81 |
3 | Marseille | 37 | 22 | 7 | 8 | 67 | 39 | 28 | 73 |
4 | Lille | 37 | 19 | 9 | 9 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 66 |
5 | Rennes | 37 | 20 | 5 | 12 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 65 |
6 | MonacoMonaco | 37 | 19 | 8 | 10 | 69 | 56 | 13 | 65 |
7 | Lyon | 37 | 18 | 8 | 11 | 64 | 44 | 20 | 62 |
8 | Clermont | 37 | 16 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 56 |
9 | Nice | 37 | 14 | 13 | 10 | 45 | 36 | 9 | 55 |
10 | Lorient | 37 | 14 | 10 | 13 | 50 | 52 | -2 | 52 |
11 | Reims | 37 | 12 | 15 | 10 | 44 | 42 | 2 | 51 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 37 | 14 | 5 | 18 | 62 | 61 | 1 | 47 |
13 | Toulouse | 37 | 12 | 9 | 16 | 49 | 56 | -7 | 45 |
14 | Brest | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 43 | 52 | -9 | 44 |
15 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 50 | 57 | -7 | 40 |
16 | Auxerre | 37 | 8 | 11 | 18 | 34 | 60 | -26 | 35 |
17 | NantesNantes | 37 | 6 | 15 | 16 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 33 |
R | Troyes | 37 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 44 | 80 | -36 | 23 |
R | Ajaccio | 37 | 6 | 5 | 26 | 22 | 74 | -52 | 23 |
R | Angers | 37 | 4 | 6 | 27 | 33 | 80 | -47 | 18 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |