Home > Football > Bundesliga
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 61.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 17.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.58%) and 0-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 2-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Werder Bremen | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
17.72% (![]() | 20.29% (![]() | 61.98% (![]() |
Both teams to score 56.68% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.85% (![]() | 39.14% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.53% (![]() | 61.47% (![]() |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.51% (![]() | 35.48% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.75% (![]() | 72.25% (![]() |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.86% (![]() | 12.13% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
62.27% (![]() | 37.72% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Werder Bremen | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
2-1 @ 4.87% (![]() 1-0 @ 4.46% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.31% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 1.78% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 1.68% ( ![]() Other @ 2.62% Total : 17.73% | 1-1 @ 9.41% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.14% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 4.31% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.25% ( ![]() Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.29% | 1-2 @ 9.92% (![]() 0-2 @ 9.58% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 9.08% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 6.98% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 6.73% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 3.68% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.61% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 3.55% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.91% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.55% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.5% ( ![]() Other @ 3.89% Total : 61.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |