

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 61.98%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 17.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.58%) and 0-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 2-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 17.72% ( | 20.29% ( | 61.98% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.68% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.85% ( | 39.14% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.53% ( | 61.47% ( |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.51% ( | 35.48% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.75% ( | 72.25% ( |
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.86% ( | 12.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.27% ( | 37.72% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2-1 @ 4.87% ( 1-0 @ 4.46% ( 2-0 @ 2.31% ( 3-2 @ 1.78% ( 3-1 @ 1.68% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 17.73% | 1-1 @ 9.41% ( 2-2 @ 5.14% ( 0-0 @ 4.31% ( 3-3 @ 1.25% ( Other @ 0.19% Total : 20.29% | 1-2 @ 9.92% ( 0-2 @ 9.58% ( 0-1 @ 9.08% ( 1-3 @ 6.98% ( 0-3 @ 6.73% ( 1-4 @ 3.68% ( 2-3 @ 3.61% ( 0-4 @ 3.55% ( 2-4 @ 1.91% ( 1-5 @ 1.55% ( 0-5 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 3.89% Total : 61.98% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 |
| 2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 |
| 3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 |
| 5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 |
| 6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 |
| 7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 |
| 8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 |
| 9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 |
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 |
| 13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 |
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 |
| 15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 |
| 16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 |
| 17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 |
| R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 |
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