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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 51.85%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 26.61% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.66%) and 0-1 (6.6%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (6.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Werder Bremen | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
26.61% | 21.53% | 51.85% |
Both teams to score 65.37% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.42% | 33.57% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
44.62% | 55.38% |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.38% | 24.62% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.88% | 59.12% |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.72% | 13.28% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.91% | 40.08% |
Score Analysis |
Werder Bremen | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
2-1 @ 6.48% 1-0 @ 4.58% 2-0 @ 3.21% 3-2 @ 3.06% 3-1 @ 3.03% 3-0 @ 1.5% 4-2 @ 1.07% 4-1 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.61% Total : 26.61% | 1-1 @ 9.25% 2-2 @ 6.55% 0-0 @ 3.27% 3-3 @ 2.06% Other @ 0.41% Total : 21.53% | 1-2 @ 9.34% 0-2 @ 6.66% 0-1 @ 6.6% 1-3 @ 6.29% 0-3 @ 4.48% 2-3 @ 4.41% 1-4 @ 3.17% 0-4 @ 2.26% 2-4 @ 2.22% 1-5 @ 1.28% 3-4 @ 1.04% 0-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.18% Total : 51.85% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 24 | 15 | 7 | 2 | 71 | 25 | 46 | 52 |
2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 24 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 49 | 30 | 19 | 50 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 49 | 29 | 20 | 45 |
4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 36 | 28 | 8 | 45 |
5 | Freiburg | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 37 | 33 | 4 | 45 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 40 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 39 | 35 | 4 | 36 |
8 | Wolfsburg | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 35 |
9 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 34 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 38 | 42 | -4 | 30 |
11 | Werder Bremen | 24 | 9 | 3 | 12 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 30 |
12 | FC Koln | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 32 | 38 | -6 | 27 |
13 | Augsburg | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 31 | 44 | -13 | 27 |
14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 24 | 7 | 1 | 16 | 26 | 56 | -30 | 22 |
15 | Hertha Berlin | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 21 |
16 | Stuttgart | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 20 |
17 | Schalke 04Schalke | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 20 | 44 | -24 | 20 |
18 | Hoffenheim | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 19 |
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