

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 42.37%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 34.77% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.34%) and 0-2 (5.55%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (7.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.95%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Werder Bremen | 
| 34.77% (  -3.14) | 22.86% (  0.38) | 42.37% (  2.76) | 
| Both teams to score 65.38% (  -2.03) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 64.39% (  -2.43) | 35.6% (  2.43) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 42.34% (  -2.74) | 57.66% (  2.74) | 
| VfL Bochum Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.15% (  -2.59) | 20.85% (  2.59) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.46% (  -4.23) | 53.53% (  4.23) | 
| Werder Bremen Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 82.6% (  0.13) | 17.4% (  -0.13) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 52.18% (  0.23) | 47.82% (  -0.23) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Werder Bremen | 
| 2-1 @ 7.8% (  -0.26) 1-0 @ 5.69% (  0.24) 2-0 @ 4.46% (  -0.17) 3-1 @ 4.08% (  -0.49) 3-2 @ 3.56% (  -0.41) 3-0 @ 2.33% (  -0.29) 4-1 @ 1.6% (  -0.35) 4-2 @ 1.4% (  -0.29) 4-0 @ 0.91% (  -0.2) Other @ 2.95% Total : 34.77% | 1-1 @ 9.95% (  0.47) 2-2 @ 6.82% (  -0.2) 0-0 @ 3.63% (  0.43) 3-3 @ 2.08% (  -0.23) Other @ 0.4% Total : 22.86% | 1-2 @ 8.7% (  0.44) 0-1 @ 6.34% (  0.77) 0-2 @ 5.55% (  0.69) 1-3 @ 5.07% (  0.28) 2-3 @ 3.98% (  -0.1) 0-3 @ 3.23% (  0.42) 1-4 @ 2.22% (  0.13) 2-4 @ 1.74% (  -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.41% (  0.19) 3-4 @ 0.91% (  -0.1) Other @ 3.23% Total : 42.37% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99 | 32 | 67 | 82 | 
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 69 | 
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 60 | 
| 4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 57 | 
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 55 | 
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 52 | 
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 51 | 
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 51 | 
| 9 | Stuttgart | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 50 | 
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 45 | 
| 11 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 43 | 
| 12 | Augsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 43 | 
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 | 
| 14 | St Pauli | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 | 
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 32 | 
| 16 | Heidenheim | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 | 
| R | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 49 | 80 | -31 | 25 | 
| R | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 25 | 
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