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Bundesliga | Gameweek 10
Nov 9, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
wohninvest WESERSTADION (Bremen)

Werder Bremen
2 - 1
Holstein Kiel

Stage (36'), Burke (89')
Friedl (25'), Stage (30'), Lynen (50')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Harres (48')
Ivezic (68'), Knudsen (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Holstein Kiel, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Holstein Kiel 1-0 Heidenheim
Saturday, November 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 2-1 Holstein Kiel

While Werder Bremen have failed to win any of their first four home games this season, it is worth noting that all of those matches were against top-six opponents, including Dortmund, Bayern Munich, Freiburg and Bayer Leverkusen. With this being the hosts' first home game against a team below them in the league standings, and given their opponents' poor away record, we feel the River Islanders will be able to secure their first win of the season at Weserstadion in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Holstein Kiel win with a probability of 48.55%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 29.53% and a draw had a probability of 21.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.25%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (6.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Werder Bremen in this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawHolstein Kiel
29.53% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05) 21.91% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01) 48.55% (0.060000000000002 0.06)
Both teams to score 66.44% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.8% (0.029000000000011 0.03)33.19% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.05% (0.035000000000004 0.04)54.94% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.42% (-0.015999999999991 -0.02)22.57% (0.012 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.83% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)56.16% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Holstein Kiel Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.8% (0.031999999999996 0.03)14.19% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.09% (0.061999999999998 0.06)41.9% (-0.064 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 29.53%
    Holstein Kiel 48.56%
    Draw 21.91%
Werder BremenDrawHolstein Kiel
2-1 @ 6.93% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 4.77% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 3.55% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.44% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.36% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-0 @ 1.76% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.28% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 29.53%
1-1 @ 9.31% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
2-2 @ 6.76% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 3.2% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-3 @ 2.18% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 21.91%
1-2 @ 9.09% (0.0019999999999989 0)
0-1 @ 6.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 6.11% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 5.92% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-3 @ 4.4% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-3 @ 3.97% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.89% (0.008 0.01)
2-4 @ 2.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
0-4 @ 1.94% (0.006 0.01)
1-5 @ 1.13% (0.004 0)
3-4 @ 1.07% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.65%
Total : 48.56%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Holstein Kiel

Werder Bremen
71.4%
Draw
21.4%
Holstein Kiel
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Apr 29, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Werder Bremen
2-3
Holstein Kiel
Fullkrug (2'), Ducksch (23' pen.)
Weiser (45'), Schmid (67')
Fullkrug (45+2' og.), Jung (71' og.), Korb (85')
Lorenz (23'), Muhling (56'), Korb (82'), Arslan (90+1')
Nov 27, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 15
Holstein Kiel
2-1
Werder Bremen
Mees (45'), Pichler (65')
Neumann (90+3'), Sander (90+7')
Fullkrug (57')
Gruev (12')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


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