

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 40.61%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 33.58% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.86%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-0 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Freiburg in this match.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Freiburg |
| 33.58% ( | 25.81% ( | 40.61% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.46% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.3% ( | 49.7% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.29% ( | 71.71% ( |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.83% ( | 28.17% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.14% ( | 63.86% ( |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.81% ( | 24.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.48% ( | 58.52% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Freiburg |
| 1-0 @ 8.63% ( 2-1 @ 7.76% ( 2-0 @ 5.47% ( 3-1 @ 3.28% ( 3-2 @ 2.33% ( 3-0 @ 2.31% ( 4-1 @ 1.04% ( Other @ 2.77% Total : 33.58% | 1-1 @ 12.25% 0-0 @ 6.81% ( 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 3-3 @ 1.1% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 9.67% ( 1-2 @ 8.7% ( 0-2 @ 6.86% ( 1-3 @ 4.11% ( 0-3 @ 3.25% ( 2-3 @ 2.61% ( 1-4 @ 1.46% ( 0-4 @ 1.15% ( 2-4 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 1.88% Total : 40.61% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99 | 32 | 67 | 82 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 69 |
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 60 |
| 4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 57 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 55 |
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 52 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 51 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 51 |
| 9 | Stuttgart | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 50 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 45 |
| 11 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 43 |
| 12 | Augsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 43 |
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 |
| 14 | St Pauli | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 32 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 |
| R | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 49 | 80 | -31 | 25 |
| R | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 25 |
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