

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 41.64%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 34.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (7.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Freiburg | 
| 34.08% (  -0.03) | 24.27% (  -0) | 41.64% (  0.03) | 
| Both teams to score 59.92% (  0) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 57.34% (  0.01) | 42.66% (  -0.01) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 34.93% (  0.01) | 65.06% (  -0.01) | 
| Werder Bremen Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 75.5% (  -0.01) | 24.49% (  0.01) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 41.04% (  -0.02) | 58.95% (  0.02) | 
| Freiburg Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 79.36% (  0.02) | 20.63% (  -0.02) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 46.8% (  0.03) | 53.2% (  -0.03) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Werder Bremen | Draw | Freiburg | 
| 2-1 @ 7.89% (  -0) 1-0 @ 7.11% (  -0.01) 2-0 @ 5% (  -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.7% (  -0) 3-2 @ 2.92% (  -0) 3-0 @ 2.35% (  -0) 4-1 @ 1.3% (  -0) 4-2 @ 1.03% (  -0) Other @ 2.79% Total : 34.08% | 1-1 @ 11.22% 2-2 @ 6.23% 0-0 @ 5.05% (  -0) 3-3 @ 1.54% Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.27% | 1-2 @ 8.86% (  0) 0-1 @ 7.98% (  0) 0-2 @ 6.3% (  0) 1-3 @ 4.66% (  0) 0-3 @ 3.31% (  0) 2-3 @ 3.28% (  0) 1-4 @ 1.84% (  0) 0-4 @ 1.31% (  0) 2-4 @ 1.29% (  0) Other @ 2.83% Total : 41.64% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 33 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 87 | 23 | 64 | 87 | 
| 2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 33 | 23 | 3 | 7 | 92 | 41 | 51 | 72 | 
| 3 | Stuttgart | 33 | 22 | 4 | 7 | 74 | 39 | 35 | 70 | 
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 33 | 19 | 7 | 7 | 75 | 37 | 38 | 64 | 
| 5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 33 | 17 | 9 | 7 | 64 | 43 | 21 | 60 | 
| 6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 33 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 49 | 48 | 1 | 46 | 
| 7 | Hoffenheim | 33 | 12 | 7 | 14 | 62 | 64 | -2 | 43 | 
| 8 | Freiburg | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | 44 | 56 | -12 | 42 | 
| 9 | Heidenheim | 33 | 9 | 12 | 12 | 46 | 54 | -8 | 39 | 
| 10 | Augsburg | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 39 | 
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | 44 | 53 | -9 | 39 | 
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 33 | 10 | 7 | 16 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 37 | 
| 13 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 33 | 7 | 13 | 13 | 56 | 63 | -7 | 34 | 
| 14 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 33 | 7 | 12 | 14 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 33 | 
| 15 | Mainz 05Mainz | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | 36 | 50 | -14 | 32 | 
| 16 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 33 | 8 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 57 | -26 | 30 | 
| 17 | FC Koln | 33 | 5 | 12 | 16 | 27 | 56 | -29 | 27 | 
| R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 33 | 3 | 8 | 22 | 30 | 82 | -52 | 17 | 
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