

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 47%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 29.95% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.46%) and 2-0 (6.67%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Werder Bremen | Draw | VfL Bochum |
| 47% ( | 23.04% ( | 29.95% ( |
| Both teams to score 62.49% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.51% ( | 38.49% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.22% ( | 60.78% ( |
| Werder Bremen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.27% ( | 16.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.36% ( | 46.64% ( |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.04% ( | 24.95% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40.4% ( | 59.59% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Werder Bremen | Draw | VfL Bochum |
| 2-1 @ 9.26% ( 1-0 @ 7.46% ( 2-0 @ 6.67% ( 3-1 @ 5.52% ( 3-0 @ 3.98% ( 3-2 @ 3.83% ( 4-1 @ 2.47% ( 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 4-2 @ 1.71% ( Other @ 4.31% Total : 47% | 1-1 @ 10.36% ( 2-2 @ 6.43% 0-0 @ 4.17% ( 3-3 @ 1.77% ( Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.04% | 1-2 @ 7.19% ( 0-1 @ 5.79% ( 0-2 @ 4.02% ( 1-3 @ 3.33% ( 2-3 @ 2.98% ( 0-3 @ 1.86% ( 1-4 @ 1.16% ( 2-4 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 2.6% Total : 29.95% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 30 | 22 | 6 | 2 | 87 | 29 | 58 | 72 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 29 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 63 | 34 | 29 | 63 |
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 58 | 42 | 16 | 51 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 49 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 43 | 47 | -4 | 48 |
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 48 | 36 | 12 | 47 |
| 7 | Werder Bremen | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 45 |
| 8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 44 |
| 9 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 42 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 42 |
| 11 | Stuttgart | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | 56 | 50 | 6 | 41 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 53 | 47 | 6 | 39 |
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 35 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 30 | 7 | 9 | 14 | 38 | 55 | -17 | 30 |
| 15 | St Pauli | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 29 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 30 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 32 | 60 | -28 | 22 |
| 17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 30 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 29 | 62 | -33 | 20 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 41 | 71 | -30 | 19 |
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