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VfL Bochum
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 15
Dec 21, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
wohninvest WESERSTADION (Bremen)
Union Berlin logo

Werder Bremen
4 - 1
Union Berlin

Grull (13', 17'), Weiser (45'), Stage (87')
Friedl (19'), Burke (90+4')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Schafer (23')
Doekhi (5'), Khedira (45')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: St Pauli 0-2 Werder Bremen
Saturday, December 14 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-1 VfL Bochum
Saturday, December 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Werder Bremen 2-1 Union Berlin

Despite losing four of their last five Bundesliga away fixtures, only Bayern (3-0) beat Union by more than a goal. While Bremen are anticipated to secure three points, the outcome might be closer than the form table suggests. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.63%) and 2-0 (7.27%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (9.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Werder Bremen would win this match.

Result
Werder BremenDrawUnion Berlin
40.99% (-0.111 -0.11) 26.53% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05) 32.47% (0.156 0.16)
Both teams to score 51.79% (0.193 0.19)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.02% (0.225 0.23)52.98% (-0.224 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.42% (0.191 0.19)74.58% (-0.191 -0.19)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.53% (0.043000000000006 0.04)25.47% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.69% (0.059000000000005 0.06)60.3% (-0.058999999999997 -0.06)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.49% (0.21799999999999 0.22)30.51% (-0.219 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.27% (0.259 0.26)66.73% (-0.259 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Werder Bremen 40.98%
    Union Berlin 32.48%
    Draw 26.53%
Werder BremenDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 10.62% (-0.08 -0.08)
2-1 @ 8.63% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 7.27% (-0.046 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.93% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-0 @ 3.31% (-0.017 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.34% (0.016 0.02)
4-1 @ 1.35% (0.0029999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 40.98%
1-1 @ 12.61% (-0.020000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.77% (-0.069000000000001 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.12% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
3-3 @ 0.92% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.53%
0-1 @ 9.22% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-2 @ 7.49% (0.034 0.03)
0-2 @ 5.48% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.96% (0.03 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.17% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 2.03% (0.024 0.02)
Other @ 3.13%
Total : 32.48%

How you voted: Werder Bremen vs Union Berlin

Werder Bremen
72.7%
Draw
18.2%
Union Berlin
9.1%
33
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Union Berlin
2-1
Werder Bremen
Vertessen (50'), Aaronson (52')
Vogt (26'), Gosens (27'), Tousart (30')
Weiser (63')
Lynen (32'), Weiser (38'), Ducksch (41'), Stage (72'), Keita (90')
Oct 28, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Werder Bremen
2-0
Union Berlin
Knoche (38' og.), Ducksch (75')
Stage (73')

Gosens (56'), Leite (80'), Hollerbach (85'), Laidouni (90+6')
Khedira (60')
May 27, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Union Berlin
1-0
Werder Bremen
Khedira (81')
Laidouni (45+4')

Philipp (50'), Pavlenka (68'), Bittencourt (71')
Jan 25, 2023 7.30pm
Apr 24, 2021 2.30pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


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