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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 30.11% and a draw had a probability of 26.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 0-1 (8.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Union Berlin | Draw | VfL Bochum | 
| 43.8% (  0.4) | 26.08% (  -0.04) | 30.11% (  -0.37) | 
| Both teams to score 52.24% (  -0.07) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 48.04% (  -0.01) | 51.96% (  0) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 26.3% (  -0) | 73.7% (  0) | 
| Union Berlin Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 76.4% (  0.19) | 23.59% (  -0.2) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.33% (  0.28) | 57.67% (  -0.28) | 
| VfL Bochum Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 68.37% (  -0.27) | 31.63% (  0.26) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.96% (  -0.31) | 68.04% (  0.3) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Union Berlin | Draw | VfL Bochum | 
| 1-0 @ 10.77% (  0.06) 2-1 @ 8.96% (  0.04) 2-0 @ 7.78% (  0.09) 3-1 @ 4.31% (  0.04) 3-0 @ 3.75% (  0.06) 3-2 @ 2.48% (  0.01) 4-1 @ 1.56% (  0.02) 4-0 @ 1.35% (  0.03) Other @ 2.84% Total : 43.8% | 1-1 @ 12.4% (  -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.46% 2-2 @ 5.16% (  -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.95% (  -0.01) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.08% | 0-1 @ 8.59% (  -0.06) 1-2 @ 7.14% (  -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.94% (  -0.07) 1-3 @ 2.74% (  -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.98% (  -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.9% (  -0.04) Other @ 2.82% Total : 30.11% |