

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.
| Result | ||
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Union Berlin | 
| 47.47% (  -0.26) | 24.36% | 28.17% (  0.26) | 
| Both teams to score 56.61% (  0.19) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 54.31% (  0.16) | 45.69% (  -0.16) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 31.99% (  0.15) | 68.01% (  -0.16) | 
| VfL Bochum Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 80.65% (  -0.04) | 19.35% (  0.04) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.87% (  -0.07) | 51.13% (  0.07) | 
| Union Berlin Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 70.19% (  0.27) | 29.81% (  -0.28) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.11% (  0.33) | 65.88% (  -0.33) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Union Berlin | 
| 1-0 @ 9.47% (  -0.08) 2-1 @ 9.42% (  -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.78% (  -0.08) 3-1 @ 5.16% (  -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.26% (  -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.12% (  0.01) 4-1 @ 2.12% (  -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.75% (  -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.28% (  0) Other @ 3.11% Total : 47.47% | 1-1 @ 11.46% (  -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.77% (  -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.7% (  0.03) 3-3 @ 1.26% (  0.01) Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.35% | 0-1 @ 6.98% (  0) 1-2 @ 6.94% (  0.05) 0-2 @ 4.23% (  0.03) 1-3 @ 2.8% (  0.04) 2-3 @ 2.3% (  0.03) 0-3 @ 1.71% (  0.03) Other @ 3.22% Total : 28.17% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 90 | 29 | 61 | 75 | 
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 19 | 10 | 2 | 66 | 35 | 31 | 67 | 
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 55 | 
| 4 | Freiburg | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 51 | 
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 49 | 
| 6 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 60 | 49 | 11 | 48 | 
| 7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 47 | 
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 46 | 
| 9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 44 | 
| 10 | Augsburg | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 43 | 
| 11 | Stuttgart | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 41 | 
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 39 | 
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 36 | 
| 14 | St Pauli | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 31 | 
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 30 | 
| 16 | Heidenheim | 31 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 25 | 
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 45 | 74 | -29 | 22 | 
| 18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 21 | 
| > Bundesliga Full Table | |||||||||
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
