

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 28.17% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (6.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that VfL Bochum would win this match.
| Result | ||
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 47.47% ( | 24.36% | 28.17% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.61% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.31% ( | 45.69% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.99% ( | 68.01% ( |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.65% ( | 19.35% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 48.87% ( | 51.13% ( |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.19% ( | 29.81% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 34.11% ( | 65.88% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 1-0 @ 9.47% ( 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 2-0 @ 7.78% ( 3-1 @ 5.16% ( 3-0 @ 4.26% ( 3-2 @ 3.12% ( 4-1 @ 2.12% ( 4-0 @ 1.75% ( 4-2 @ 1.28% ( Other @ 3.11% Total : 47.47% | 1-1 @ 11.46% ( 0-0 @ 5.77% ( 2-2 @ 5.7% ( 3-3 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.35% | 0-1 @ 6.98% ( 1-2 @ 6.94% ( 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 1-3 @ 2.8% ( 2-3 @ 2.3% ( 0-3 @ 1.71% ( Other @ 3.22% Total : 28.17% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 90 | 29 | 61 | 75 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 19 | 10 | 2 | 66 | 35 | 31 | 67 |
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 55 |
| 4 | Freiburg | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 51 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 49 |
| 6 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 60 | 49 | 11 | 48 |
| 7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 47 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 46 |
| 9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 44 |
| 10 | Augsburg | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 43 |
| 11 | Stuttgart | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 41 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 39 |
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 36 |
| 14 | St Pauli | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 31 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 30 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 31 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 25 |
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 45 | 74 | -29 | 22 |
| 18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 21 |
| > Bundesliga Full Table | |||||||||
