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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 39.82%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 35.37% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.22%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-2 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 39.82% ( | 24.81% ( | 35.37% ( |
| Both teams to score 58.3% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.1% ( | 44.9% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.75% ( | 67.26% ( |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.54% ( | 22.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.99% ( | 56.01% ( |
| Union Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.18% ( | 24.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.6% ( | 59.4% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Union Berlin |
| 2-1 @ 8.66% ( 1-0 @ 8.32% ( 2-0 @ 6.22% ( 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 3-0 @ 3.09% ( 3-2 @ 3% ( 4-1 @ 1.61% ( 4-0 @ 1.16% ( 4-2 @ 1.12% ( Other @ 2.33% Total : 39.82% | 1-1 @ 11.6% ( 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0-0 @ 5.58% ( 3-3 @ 1.4% ( Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.81% | 1-2 @ 8.09% ( 0-1 @ 7.77% ( 0-2 @ 5.41% ( 1-3 @ 3.76% ( 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0-3 @ 2.52% ( 1-4 @ 1.31% ( 2-4 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.37% |