MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 16:20:53| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Union Berlin logo

Freiburg
1 - 2
Union Berlin

Holer (29')
Ginter (76'), Manzambi (89'), Dinkci (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Khedira (30'), Ilic (48')
Khedira (68'), Ilic (81'), Schafer (88'), Juranovic (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 2-2 Freiburg
Saturday, March 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-1 Bayern
Saturday, March 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 1-0 Union Berlin

Union have struggled in front of goal, and while they have improved their away form of late, their overall record on the road is still concerning. Freiburg are unlikely to suffer defeat on the weekend given they have been excellent in the past weeks, and they may keep another clean sheet. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 49.54%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 26.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
FreiburgDrawUnion Berlin
49.54% (0.396 0.4) 24.12% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1) 26.33% (-0.3 -0.3)
Both teams to score 55.88% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.04% (0.188 0.19)45.95% (-0.19 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.74% (0.179 0.18)68.26% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.38% (0.23 0.23)18.61% (-0.231 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.09% (0.386 0.39)49.91% (-0.388 -0.39)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.66% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)31.33% (0.135 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.3% (-0.155 -0.16)67.69% (0.155 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 49.54%
    Union Berlin 26.33%
    Draw 24.12%
FreiburgDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 9.81% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.24% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.36% (0.055 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.62% (0.064 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.25% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.041 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 49.54%
1-1 @ 11.37% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.83% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.12%
0-1 @ 6.77% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 6.6% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 26.33%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Union Berlin

Freiburg
76.2%
Draw
16.7%
Union Berlin
7.1%
42
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 10
Union Berlin
0-0
Freiburg
Khedira (19'), Vogt (56')
Schuster (90+2')
May 18, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Union Berlin
2-1
Freiburg
Hollerbach (68'), Haberer (90+2')
Knoche (52'), Trimmel (67'), Juranovic (70'), Gosens (75'), Haberer (85'), Laidouni (90+7'), Volland (90+8')
Doan (85')
Makengo (37'), Doan (54'), Kubler (75'), Eggestein (90+1')
Jan 13, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 17
Freiburg
0-0
Union Berlin
Aaronson (50'), Ronnow (90+5')
May 13, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Union Berlin
4-2
Freiburg
Behrens (5'), Becker (36', 38'), Laidouni (80')
Khedira (15'), Behrens (33'), Becker (36')
Gulde (56'), Grifo (70' pen.)
Gregoritsch (90+5')
Nov 13, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 15
Freiburg
4-1
Union Berlin
Grifo (4' pen., 6', 20' pen.), Gregoritsch (45+1')
Michel (84' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


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