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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 49.54%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 26.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Union Berlin |
49.54% (![]() | 24.12% (![]() | 26.33% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.88% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.04% (![]() | 45.95% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.74% (![]() | 68.26% (![]() |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.38% (![]() | 18.61% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.09% (![]() | 49.91% (![]() |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.66% (![]() | 31.33% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.3% (![]() | 67.69% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Union Berlin |
1-0 @ 9.81% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.57% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.24% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.36% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.62% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.11% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.25% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.94% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.31% ( ![]() Other @ 3.33% Total : 49.54% | 1-1 @ 11.37% (![]() 0-0 @ 5.83% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.55% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.12% | 0-1 @ 6.77% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.6% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.93% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.55% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.52% ( ![]() Other @ 2.81% Total : 26.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 90 | 29 | 61 | 75 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 19 | 10 | 2 | 66 | 35 | 31 | 67 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 55 |
4 | Freiburg | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 51 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 49 |
6 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 60 | 49 | 11 | 48 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 47 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 46 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 44 |
10 | Augsburg | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 43 |
11 | Stuttgart | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 41 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 39 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 36 |
14 | St Pauli | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 31 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 30 |
16 | Heidenheim | 31 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 25 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 45 | 74 | -29 | 22 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 21 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |