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Bundesliga | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Union Berlin logo

Freiburg
1 - 2
Union Berlin

Holer (29')
Ginter (76'), Manzambi (89'), Dinkci (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Khedira (30'), Ilic (48')
Khedira (68'), Ilic (81'), Schafer (88'), Juranovic (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Union Berlin, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Mainz 2-2 Freiburg
Saturday, March 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Union Berlin 1-1 Bayern
Saturday, March 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 49.54%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 26.33% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.24%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 0-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
FreiburgDrawUnion Berlin
49.54% (0.396 0.4)24.12% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1)26.33% (-0.3 -0.3)
Both teams to score 55.88% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.04% (0.188 0.19)45.95% (-0.19 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.74% (0.179 0.18)68.26% (-0.18000000000001 -0.18)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.38% (0.23 0.23)18.61% (-0.231 -0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.09% (0.386 0.39)49.91% (-0.388 -0.39)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.66% (-0.13500000000001 -0.14)31.33% (0.135 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.3% (-0.155 -0.16)67.69% (0.155 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 49.54%
    Union Berlin 26.33%
    Draw 24.12%
FreiburgDrawUnion Berlin
1-0 @ 9.81% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.57% (0.029 0.03)
2-0 @ 8.24% (0.055 0.05)
3-1 @ 5.36% (0.055 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.62% (0.064 0.06)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.021 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.25% (0.039 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.94% (0.041 0.04)
4-2 @ 1.31% (0.018 0.02)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 49.54%
1-1 @ 11.37% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.83% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 24.12%
0-1 @ 6.77% (-0.08 -0.08)
1-2 @ 6.6% (-0.053 -0.05)
0-2 @ 3.93% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2.55% (-0.03 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.15% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 26.33%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Union Berlin

Freiburg
76.2%
Draw
16.7%
Union Berlin
7.1%
42
Head to Head
Nov 8, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 10
Union Berlin
0-0
Freiburg
Khedira (19'), Vogt (56')
Schuster (90+2')
May 18, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Union Berlin
2-1
Freiburg
Hollerbach (68'), Haberer (90+2')
Knoche (52'), Trimmel (67'), Juranovic (70'), Gosens (75'), Haberer (85'), Laidouni (90+7'), Volland (90+8')
Doan (85')
Makengo (37'), Doan (54'), Kubler (75'), Eggestein (90+1')
Jan 13, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 17
Freiburg
0-0
Union Berlin
Aaronson (50'), Ronnow (90+5')
May 13, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Union Berlin
4-2
Freiburg
Behrens (5'), Becker (36', 38'), Laidouni (80')
Khedira (15'), Behrens (33'), Becker (36')
Gulde (56'), Grifo (70' pen.)
Gregoritsch (90+5')
Nov 13, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 15
Freiburg
4-1
Union Berlin
Grifo (4' pen., 6', 20' pen.), Gregoritsch (45+1')
Michel (84' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
RHolstein Kiel3467214980-3125
RVfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425


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