Bundesliga | Gameweek 23
Feb 21, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Freiburg5 - 0Werder Bremen
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: St Pauli 0-1 Freiburg
Saturday, February 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, February 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
29
Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-3 Hoffenheim
Sunday, February 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Sunday, February 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
35
We said: Freiburg 1-0 Werder Bremen
Freiburg have been excellent defensively in recent weeks, and they will undoubtedly be hard to break down on Friday. Werder Bremen come into the game in poor form while the hosts have been strong at home, and it would not be surprising if Freiburg won once again. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 55.31%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 22.93% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Werder Bremen |
55.31% ( 0.08) | 21.76% ( -0.01) | 22.93% ( -0.06) |
| Both teams to score 60.21% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
