Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 23

Feb 21, 2025 at 7.30pm UK

Schwarzwald-Stadion

Freiburg
5 - 0
Werder Bremen

Sildillia (15'), Grifo (33', 57'), Doan (76', 90+2')
Eggestein (21'), Ginter (34'), Rohl (62')

FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Last Game: St Pauli 0-1 Freiburg
Saturday, February 15 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Last Game: Werder Bremen 1-3 Hoffenheim
Sunday, February 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 55.31%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 22.93% and a draw had a probability of 21.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (8.14%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (5.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.91%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Werder Bremen
55.31% ( 0.08)	21.76% ( -0.01)	22.93% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 60.21% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.49% (

-0.01)

38.51% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.19% (

-0.02)

60.8% (

0.02)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.1% (

0.02)

13.89% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.68% (

0.04)

41.31% (

-0.04)

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.92% (

-0.06)

30.07% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.79% (

-0.07)

66.21% (

0.07)

Score Analysis

Freiburg 55.31%

Werder Bremen 22.93%

Draw 21.76%

Freiburg	Draw	Werder Bremen
2-1 @ 9.78% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.14% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.43% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.35% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.87% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.18% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.64% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.91% 5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 3.47% Total : 55.31%	1-1 @ 9.91% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.18% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0) Other @ 0.25% Total : 21.76%	1-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.99% Total : 22.93%