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Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Freiburg logo

Stuttgart
4 - 0
Freiburg

Rouault (2'), Demirovic (17'), Woltemade (45+5' pen.), Undav (80')
Vagnomann (11'), Millot (45+5'), Karazor (53'), Bruun Larsen (82'), Undav (84')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Osterhage (15'), Lienhart (45+5'), Makengo (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 2-1 RB Leipzig
Wednesday, January 15 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Frankfurt 4-1 Freiburg
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 70.28%. A draw had a probability of 17.2% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 12.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 1-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.97%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (3.64%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.

Result
StuttgartDrawFreiburg
70.28%17.2%12.52% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 54.51% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
64.4% (0.007000000000005 0.01)35.6% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
42.34% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)57.66% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.95%9.05% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.21% (0.0049999999999955 0)30.79% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.93% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)40.07% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.29% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)76.71% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 70.27%
    Freiburg 12.52%
    Draw 17.2%
StuttgartDrawFreiburg
2-0 @ 10.46%
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 8.38% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 7.66%
4-0 @ 5.03%
4-1 @ 4.6% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.51% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 2.42%
5-1 @ 2.21% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 2.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-2 @ 1.01%
6-0 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.63%
Total : 70.27%
1-1 @ 7.97% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-2 @ 4.38% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-0 @ 3.63% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 17.2%
1-2 @ 3.64%
0-1 @ 3.32% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 1.52%
2-3 @ 1.33%
1-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 12.52%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Freiburg

Stuttgart
86.4%
Draw
13.6%
Freiburg
0.0%
44
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Freiburg
3-1
Stuttgart
Kubler (26', 61'), Doan (54')
Adamu (41'), Lienhart (57')
Feb 3, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Freiburg
1-3
Stuttgart
Kubler (45+11')
Streich (21'), Ginter (41'), Eggestein (45+4'), Kubler (90'), Philipp (90+9')
Rohl (18')
Undav (3'), Fuhrich (7'), Mittelstadt (74')
Mittelstadt (72'), Stiller (90+9')
Sep 2, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Stuttgart
5-0
Freiburg
Fuhrich (8', 62'), Guirassy (17', 19'), Millot (75')
Ito (38')

Philipp (86')
Feb 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 20
Freiburg
2-1
Stuttgart
Grifo (60' pen., 84' pen.)
Fuhrich (30')
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 3
Stuttgart
0-1
Freiburg

Sosa (15'), Fuhrich (28'), Ahamada (46'), Mavropanos (90+8')
Grifo (11')
Sallai (28'), Keitel (84')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
RHolstein Kiel3467214980-3125
RVfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425


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