Bundesliga | Gameweek 16
Jan 12, 2025 at 4.30pm UK
WWK Arena
Augsburg0 - 1Stuttgart
We said: Augsburg 1-2 Stuttgart
Augsburg are unlikely to be easy to overcome considering their strong home form, and it would not be surprising if they scored. Having said that, Stuttgart should be seen as favourites given their away record is strong, and they created numerous opportunities against St Pauli despite their defeat. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 45.96%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 30.53% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.86%) and 0-2 (6.77%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stuttgart would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | Stuttgart |
30.53% ( 0.15) | 23.51% ( 0.08) | 45.96% ( -0.23) |
| Both teams to score 61.14% ( -0.21) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
