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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 53.62%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 24.35% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8%) and 0-2 (7.77%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 2-1 (6.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.98%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for Stuttgart in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Stuttgart.
| Result | ||
| Heidenheim | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 24.35% ( | 22.03% ( | 53.62% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.05% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.79% ( | 38.2% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.52% ( | 60.48% ( |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.25% ( | 28.75% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.41% ( | 64.58% ( |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.67% ( | 14.33% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 57.84% ( | 42.16% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Heidenheim | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 2-1 @ 6.22% ( 1-0 @ 5.13% ( 2-0 @ 3.2% ( 3-1 @ 2.58% ( 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 3-0 @ 1.33% ( Other @ 3.37% Total : 24.35% | 1-1 @ 9.98% ( 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0-0 @ 4.12% ( 3-3 @ 1.63% ( Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.03% | 1-2 @ 9.69% ( 0-1 @ 8% ( 0-2 @ 7.77% ( 1-3 @ 6.28% ( 0-3 @ 5.04% ( 2-3 @ 3.91% ( 1-4 @ 3.05% ( 0-4 @ 2.45% ( 2-4 @ 1.9% ( 1-5 @ 1.19% ( 0-5 @ 0.95% ( Other @ 3.39% Total : 53.62% |

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99 | 32 | 67 | 82 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 69 |
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 60 |
| 4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 57 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 55 |
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 52 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 51 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 51 |
| 9 | Stuttgart | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 50 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 45 |
| 11 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 43 |
| 12 | Augsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 43 |
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 |
| 14 | St Pauli | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 32 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 |
| R | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 49 | 80 | -31 | 25 |
| R | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 25 |
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