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Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Dec 7, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Heidenheim

Bayern
4 - 2
Heidenheim

Upamecano (18'), Musiala (56', 90+1'), Goretzka (84')
Peretz (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Honsak (50'), Dorsch (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Heidenheim 0-4 Frankfurt
Sunday, December 1 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 3-0 Heidenheim

Kompany will expect a strong reaction from his players given the team are winless in their last two, and considering their exceptional home record, it would be surprising if they dropped points again on Saturday. Additionally, Heidenheim are in poor form and have struggled to find the back of the net in recent games, so the hosts should come into the clash as clear favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 82.3%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 6.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.12%) and 4-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.46%), while for a Heidenheim win it was 1-2 (1.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawHeidenheim
82.3% (-0.23100000000001 -0.23) 11.64% (0.151 0.15) 6.06% (0.076000000000001 0.08)
Both teams to score 47.58% (-0.2 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.13% (-0.473 -0.47)29.87% (0.47 0.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.96% (-0.57299999999999 -0.57)51.04% (0.569 0.57)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.63% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)5.37% (0.129 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.92% (-0.381 -0.38)21.08% (0.378 0.38)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.28% (-0.142 -0.14)49.72% (0.138 0.14)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.54% (-0.097 -0.1)84.46% (0.093000000000004 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 82.29%
    Heidenheim 6.06%
    Draw 11.64%
Bayern MunichDrawHeidenheim
2-0 @ 11.41% (0.12 0.12)
3-0 @ 11.12% (0.02 0.02)
4-0 @ 8.14% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-1 @ 7.98% (0.052 0.05)
1-0 @ 7.81% (0.145 0.15)
3-1 @ 7.78% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 5.69% (-0.057 -0.06)
5-0 @ 4.76% (-0.068 -0.07)
5-1 @ 3.33% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.015 -0.02)
6-0 @ 2.32% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.99% (-0.028 -0.03)
6-1 @ 1.62% (-0.044 -0.04)
5-2 @ 1.16% (-0.026 -0.03)
7-0 @ 0.97% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 82.29%
1-1 @ 5.46% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 2.79% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.67% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 11.64%
1-2 @ 1.91% (0.02 0.02)
0-1 @ 1.87% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 6.06%

How you voted: Bayern vs Heidenheim

Bayern Munich
84.3%
Draw
9.8%
Heidenheim
5.9%
51
Head to Head
Apr 6, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Heidenheim
3-2
Bayern
Sessa (50'), Kleindienst (51', 79')
Gimber (62'), Dinkci (89')
Kane (38'), Gnabry (45')
Tuchel (60')
Nov 11, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 11
Bayern
4-2
Heidenheim
Kane (14', 44'), Guerreiro (72'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (85')
Mazraoui (3')
Kleindienst (67'), Beste (70')
Apr 3, 2019 5.30pm
Quarter-Finals
Bayern
5-4
Heidenheim
Goretzka (12'), Muller (53'), Lewandowski (55', 84' pen.), Gnabry (65')
Lewandowski (86')
Sule (15')
Glatzel (26', 74', 77'), Schnatterer (39')
Dorsch (40'), Griesbeck (90'), Beermann (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


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