Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 13

Dec 7, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Allianz Arena

Bayern
4 - 2
Heidenheim

Upamecano (18'), Musiala (56', 90+1'), Goretzka (84')
Peretz (87')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Honsak (50'), Dorsch (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 0-1 B. Leverkusen
Tuesday, December 3 at 7.45pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Heidenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Heidenheim 0-4 Frankfurt
Sunday, December 1 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 82.3%. A draw had a probability of 11.6% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 6.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (11.12%) and 4-0 (8.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.46%), while for a Heidenheim win it was 1-2 (1.91%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern Munich	Draw	Heidenheim
82.3% ( -0.23)	11.64% ( 0.15)	6.06% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 47.58% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

70.13% (

-0.47)

29.87% (

0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.96% (

-0.57)

51.04% (

0.57)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

94.63% (

-0.13)

5.37% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

78.92% (

-0.38)

21.08% (

0.38)

Heidenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.28% (

-0.14)

49.72% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.54% (

-0.1)

84.46% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Bayern Munich 82.29%

Heidenheim 6.06%

Draw 11.64%

Bayern Munich	Draw	Heidenheim
2-0 @ 11.41% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 11.12% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 8.14% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( 0.05) 1-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 7.78% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 5.69% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 4.76% ( -0.07) 5-1 @ 3.33% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.72% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 2.32% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0.03) 6-1 @ 1.62% ( -0.04) 5-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) 7-0 @ 0.97% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.52% Total : 82.29%	1-1 @ 5.46% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 2.79% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.72% Total : 11.64%	1-2 @ 1.91% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 1.87% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.29% Total : 6.06%