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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 74.06%. A draw had a probability of 16.2% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 9.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.21%) and 3-0 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.68%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (3.19%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Union Berlin |
74.06% (![]() | 16.18% (![]() | 9.75% (![]() |
Both teams to score 48.09% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
61.17% (![]() | 38.83% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.86% (![]() | 61.14% (![]() |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
91% (![]() | 8.99% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
69.34% (![]() | 30.66% (![]() |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
52.84% (![]() | 47.16% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.39% (![]() | 82.6% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Union Berlin |
2-0 @ 12.3% (![]() 1-0 @ 10.21% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 9.88% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.25% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 7.43% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 5.95% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 4.47% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 2.87% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.79% ( ![]() 5-1 @ 2.15% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.68% ( ![]() 6-0 @ 1.15% ( ![]() Other @ 3.94% Total : 74.05% | 1-1 @ 7.68% (![]() 0-0 @ 4.24% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 3.48% ( ![]() Other @ 0.78% Total : 16.18% | 0-1 @ 3.19% (![]() 1-2 @ 2.89% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 2.48% Total : 9.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 31 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 90 | 29 | 61 | 75 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 31 | 19 | 10 | 2 | 66 | 35 | 31 | 67 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 55 |
4 | Freiburg | 31 | 15 | 6 | 10 | 44 | 47 | -3 | 51 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 31 | 13 | 10 | 8 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 49 |
6 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 60 | 49 | 11 | 48 |
7 | Mainz 05Mainz | 31 | 13 | 8 | 10 | 48 | 39 | 9 | 47 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 31 | 13 | 7 | 11 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 46 |
9 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 31 | 13 | 5 | 13 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 44 |
10 | Augsburg | 31 | 11 | 10 | 10 | 33 | 42 | -9 | 43 |
11 | Stuttgart | 31 | 11 | 8 | 12 | 56 | 51 | 5 | 41 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 31 | 10 | 9 | 12 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 39 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 36 |
14 | St Pauli | 31 | 8 | 7 | 16 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 31 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 31 | 7 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 58 | -18 | 30 |
16 | Heidenheim | 31 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 33 | 60 | -27 | 25 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 31 | 5 | 7 | 19 | 45 | 74 | -29 | 22 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 31 | 5 | 6 | 20 | 30 | 63 | -33 | 21 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |