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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen | 
| 48.47% (  -4.19) | 23.22% (  1.24) | 28.31% (  2.95) | 
| Both teams to score 60.66% (  -1.74) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 59.6% (  -3.47) | 40.4% (  3.47) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 37.22% (  -3.67) | 62.77% (  3.67) | 
| Bayern Munich Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 83.09% (  -2.72) | 16.9% (  2.72) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.04% (  -5.06) | 46.95% (  5.06) | 
| Bayer Leverkusen Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 73% (  0.28) | 26.99% (  -0.29) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.65% (  0.37) | 62.34% (  -0.37) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen | 
| 2-1 @ 9.44% (  -0.15) 1-0 @ 8.11% (  0.55) 2-0 @ 7.21% (  -0.17) 3-1 @ 5.59% (  -0.65) 3-0 @ 4.27% (  -0.53) 3-2 @ 3.66% (  -0.39) 4-1 @ 2.49% (  -0.56) 4-0 @ 1.9% (  -0.45) 4-2 @ 1.63% (  -0.35) Other @ 4.16% Total : 48.47% | 1-1 @ 10.62% (  0.8) 2-2 @ 6.18% (  -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.56% (  0.69) 3-3 @ 1.6% (  -0.16) Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.22% | 1-2 @ 6.96% (  0.58) 0-1 @ 5.98% (  0.95) 0-2 @ 3.91% (  0.65) 1-3 @ 3.04% (  0.27) 2-3 @ 2.7% (  0) 0-3 @ 1.71% (  0.29) 1-4 @ 0.99% (  0.1) Other @ 3.03% Total : 28.31% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99 | 32 | 67 | 82 | 
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 69 | 
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 60 | 
| 4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 57 | 
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 55 | 
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 52 | 
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 51 | 
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 51 | 
| 9 | Stuttgart | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 50 | 
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 45 | 
| 11 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 43 | 
| 12 | Augsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 43 | 
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 | 
| 14 | St Pauli | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 | 
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 32 | 
| 16 | Heidenheim | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 | 
| R | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 49 | 80 | -31 | 25 | 
| R | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 25 | 
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