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Bundesliga | Gameweek 5
Sep 28, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Leverkusen logo

Bayern
1 - 1
B. Leverkusen

Pavlovic (39')
Upamecano (23')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Andrich (31')
Alonso (23'), Andrich (32'), Wirtz (57'), Grimaldo (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 48.47%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.21%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.62%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawBayer Leverkusen
48.47% (-4.191 -4.19)23.22% (1.243 1.24)28.31% (2.948 2.95)
Both teams to score 60.66% (-1.737 -1.74)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.6% (-3.474 -3.47)40.4% (3.473 3.47)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.22% (-3.67 -3.67)62.77% (3.67 3.67)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.09% (-2.716 -2.72)16.9% (2.716 2.72)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.04% (-5.057 -5.06)46.95% (5.056 5.06)
Bayer Leverkusen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73% (0.285 0.28)26.99% (-0.286 -0.29)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.65% (0.372 0.37)62.34% (-0.373 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 48.47%
    Bayer Leverkusen 28.31%
    Draw 23.22%
Bayern MunichDrawBayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.44% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-0 @ 8.11% (0.553 0.55)
2-0 @ 7.21% (-0.17 -0.17)
3-1 @ 5.59% (-0.646 -0.65)
3-0 @ 4.27% (-0.531 -0.53)
3-2 @ 3.66% (-0.39 -0.39)
4-1 @ 2.49% (-0.56 -0.56)
4-0 @ 1.9% (-0.447 -0.45)
4-2 @ 1.63% (-0.35 -0.35)
Other @ 4.16%
Total : 48.47%
1-1 @ 10.62% (0.801 0.8)
2-2 @ 6.18% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.56% (0.692 0.69)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.156 -0.16)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.22%
1-2 @ 6.96% (0.578 0.58)
0-1 @ 5.98% (0.948 0.95)
0-2 @ 3.91% (0.647 0.65)
1-3 @ 3.04% (0.274 0.27)
2-3 @ 2.7% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.71% (0.294 0.29)
1-4 @ 0.99% (0.097 0.1)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 28.31%

How you voted: Bayern vs B. Leverkusen

Bayern Munich
69.8%
Draw
18.3%
Bayer Leverkusen
11.8%
169
Head to Head
Feb 10, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
B. Leverkusen
3-0
Bayern
Stanisic (18'), Grimaldo (50'), Frimpong (90+5')
Tapsoba (64'), Adli (77'), Hradecky (83')

Boey (36'), Goretzka (62')
Sep 15, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 4
Bayern
2-2
B. Leverkusen
Kane (7'), Goretzka (86')
Tuchel (25')
Grimaldo (24'), Palacios (90+4' pen.)
Hofmann (34'), Wirtz (47'), Tapsoba (69')
Mar 19, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 25
B. Leverkusen
2-1
Bayern
Palacios (55' pen., 73' pen.)
Kimmich (22')
Sep 30, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 8
Bayern
4-0
B. Leverkusen
Sane (3'), Musiala (17'), Mane (39'), Muller (84')
Mar 5, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 25
Bayern
1-1
B. Leverkusen
Sule (18')
Coman (72')
Muller (36' og.)
Bakker (32'), Demirbay (54')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
RHolstein Kiel3467214980-3125
RVfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425


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