

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 50.23%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.99%) and 2-3 (5.69%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Bayern Munich | 
| 30.51% (  -2.42) | 19.26% (  -0.06) | 50.23% (  2.49) | 
| Both teams to score 77.54% (  -1.15) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 80.63% (  -0.94) | 19.37% (  0.94) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 62.81% (  -1.36) | 37.19% (  1.37) | 
| Hoffenheim Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 85% (  -1.49) | 15% (  1.49) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 56.55% (  -2.9) | 43.45% (  2.9) | 
| Bayern Munich Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 91.22% (  0.25) | 8.78% (  -0.24) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 69.85% (  0.58) | 30.15% (  -0.58) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Bayern Munich | 
| 2-1 @ 5.77% (  -0.11) 3-2 @ 4.44% (  -0.28) 3-1 @ 3.65% (  -0.27) 1-0 @ 2.5% (  0.06) 2-0 @ 2.37% (  -0.07) 4-2 @ 2.1% (  -0.26) 4-1 @ 1.73% (  -0.23) 4-3 @ 1.71% (  -0.19) 3-0 @ 1.5% (  -0.13) Other @ 4.75% Total : 30.51% | 2-2 @ 7.01% (  -0.05) 1-1 @ 6.08% (  0.21) 3-3 @ 3.6% (  -0.18) 0-0 @ 1.32% (  0.1) 4-4 @ 1.04% (  -0.1) Other @ 0.22% Total : 19.26% | 1-2 @ 7.39% (  0.33) 1-3 @ 5.99% (  0.33) 2-3 @ 5.69% (  0.02) 0-2 @ 3.9% (  0.37) 1-4 @ 3.65% (  0.24) 2-4 @ 3.46% (  0.05) 0-1 @ 3.2% (  0.27) 0-3 @ 3.16% (  0.33) 3-4 @ 2.19% (  -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.92% (  0.22) 1-5 @ 1.77% (  0.14) 2-5 @ 1.68% (  0.04) 3-5 @ 1.06% (  -0.03) 0-5 @ 0.93% (  0.12) Other @ 4.24% Total : 50.23% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99 | 32 | 67 | 82 | 
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 69 | 
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 60 | 
| 4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 57 | 
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 55 | 
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 52 | 
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 51 | 
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 51 | 
| 9 | Stuttgart | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 50 | 
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 45 | 
| 11 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 43 | 
| 12 | Augsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 43 | 
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 | 
| 14 | St Pauli | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 | 
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 32 | 
| 16 | Heidenheim | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 | 
| 17 | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 49 | 80 | -31 | 25 | 
| 18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 25 | 
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