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Bundesliga | Gameweek 34
May 18, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Campo La Quinta
Bayern logo

Hoffenheim
4 - 2
Bayern

Beier (8'), Kramaric (68', 85', 87')
Promel (51'), Grillitsch (54'), Kramaric (88')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Tel (4'), Davies (6')
Zaragoza (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Darmstadt 0-6 Hoffenheim
Sunday, May 12 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Hoffenheim 2-1 Bayern Munich

Bayern's recent successful exploits against Hoffenheim should count for nought on Saturday, as Tuchel will have to put out a makeshift attack and has overseen several dismal defensive displays on the road of late. As such, the former champions' season seems destined to end on a sour note against Champions League-chasing Hoffenheim, who will then be forced to play the waiting game to learn their European fate. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 50.23%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.99%) and 2-3 (5.69%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 2-2 (7.01%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.

Result
HoffenheimDrawBayern Munich
30.51% (-2.422 -2.42) 19.26% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06) 50.23% (2.489 2.49)
Both teams to score 77.54% (-1.147 -1.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
80.63% (-0.93599999999999 -0.94)19.37% (0.941 0.94)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
62.81% (-1.365 -1.36)37.19% (1.37 1.37)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85% (-1.485 -1.49)15% (1.489 1.49)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.55% (-2.896 -2.9)43.45% (2.902 2.9)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
91.22% (0.245 0.25)8.78% (-0.239 -0.24)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
69.85% (0.583 0.58)30.15% (-0.577 -0.58)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 30.51%
    Bayern Munich 50.23%
    Draw 19.26%
HoffenheimDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 5.77% (-0.107 -0.11)
3-2 @ 4.44% (-0.28 -0.28)
3-1 @ 3.65% (-0.273 -0.27)
1-0 @ 2.5% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 2.37% (-0.071 -0.07)
4-2 @ 2.1% (-0.255 -0.26)
4-1 @ 1.73% (-0.232 -0.23)
4-3 @ 1.71% (-0.186 -0.19)
3-0 @ 1.5% (-0.129 -0.13)
Other @ 4.75%
Total : 30.51%
2-2 @ 7.01% (-0.052 -0.05)
1-1 @ 6.08% (0.21 0.21)
3-3 @ 3.6% (-0.184 -0.18)
0-0 @ 1.32% (0.098 0.1)
4-4 @ 1.04% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 19.26%
1-2 @ 7.39% (0.334 0.33)
1-3 @ 5.99% (0.334 0.33)
2-3 @ 5.69% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.9% (0.371 0.37)
1-4 @ 3.65% (0.241 0.24)
2-4 @ 3.46% (0.05 0.05)
0-1 @ 3.2% (0.272 0.27)
0-3 @ 3.16% (0.332 0.33)
3-4 @ 2.19% (-0.086 -0.09)
0-4 @ 1.92% (0.221 0.22)
1-5 @ 1.77% (0.135 0.14)
2-5 @ 1.68% (0.043 0.04)
3-5 @ 1.06% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-5 @ 0.93% (0.116 0.12)
Other @ 4.24%
Total : 50.23%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Bayern

Hoffenheim
36.6%
Draw
17.6%
Bayern Munich
45.8%
153
Head to Head
Jan 12, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Bayern
3-0
Hoffenheim
Musiala (18', 70'), Kane (90')
Pavlovic (83')

Stach (16'), Promel (42')
Promel (74')
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Bayern
1-1
Hoffenheim
Pavard (17')
Kramaric (71')
Oct 22, 2022 2.30pm
Mar 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 26
Hoffenheim
1-1
Bayern
Baumgartner (32')
Samassekou (30'), Grillitsch (38'), Rutter (45+1'), Posch (66')
Lewandowski (45+3')
Hernandez (44')
Oct 23, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Bayern
4-0
Hoffenheim
Gnabry (16'), Lewandowski (30'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (82'), Coman (87')

Samassekou (10'), Rudy (60'), Raum (74'), Grillitsch (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
17Holstein Kiel3467214980-3125
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425


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