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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 12, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Wolfsburg

Bayern
2 - 0
Wolfsburg

Zvonarek (4'), Goretzka (13')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Majer (53'), Lacroix (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Real Madrid 2-1 Bayern
Wednesday, May 8 at 8pm in Champions League

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Last Game: Wolfsburg 3-0 Darmstadt
Saturday, May 4 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 2-1 Wolfsburg

 Despite the potential of a European hangover on Sunday, Tuchel's men should secure maximum points to bounce back from two defeats on the trot in all competitions. Wolfsburg have lost 24 and drawn twice in 26 visits to Bayern, and that wretched record is not expected to end this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 71.96%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 12.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.76%) and 3-1 (8.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.81%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (3.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawWolfsburg
71.96% (0.016000000000005 0.02) 15.71% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01) 12.33% (-0.013 -0.01)
Both teams to score 60.06% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.51% (0.0019999999999953 0)28.48% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
50.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)49.34% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.05% (0.00099999999999056 0)6.95% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.52% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)25.48% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.55% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)35.45% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.79% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)72.21% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 71.96%
    Wolfsburg 12.33%
    Draw 15.71%
Bayern MunichDrawWolfsburg
2-1 @ 9.08% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 8.76% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 8.07% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 7.78% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 6.57%
4-1 @ 5.38% (0.0020000000000007 0)
4-0 @ 5.19% (0.0040000000000004 0)
3-2 @ 4.19% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
5-1 @ 2.87% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-2 @ 2.79%
5-0 @ 2.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-2 @ 1.49%
6-1 @ 1.28% (0.00099999999999989 0)
6-0 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
4-3 @ 0.97%
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 71.96%
1-1 @ 6.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-2 @ 4.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 2.46%
3-3 @ 1.45% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 15.71%
1-2 @ 3.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 2.56% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 1.63% (-0.002 -0)
0-2 @ 1.33% (-0.002 -0)
1-3 @ 1.22% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 12.33%

How you voted: Bayern vs Wolfsburg

Bayern Munich
83.5%
Draw
9.9%
Wolfsburg
6.6%
91
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> Preview
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> Preview
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Gameweek 2
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Musiala (33'), Muller (44')
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Svanberg (52')
> Preview
May 14, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Wolfsburg
2-2
Bayern
Wind (45'), Kruse (58')
Kohfeldt (38'), Nmecha (42')
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Upamecano (77'), Richards (88')
> Preview
Dec 17, 2021 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
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Muller (7'), Upamecano (57'), Sane (59'), Lewandowski (87')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen00000000
2Borussia DortmundDortmund00000000
3Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach00000000
4Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt00000000
5Augsburg00000000
6Bayern MunichBayern00000000
7Union BerlinUnion Berlin00000000
8Mainz 05Mainz00000000
9Heidenheim00000000
10Holstein Kiel00000000
11RB Leipzig00000000
12Freiburg00000000
13St Pauli00000000
14Hoffenheim00000000
15Stuttgart00000000
16VfL BochumVfL Bochum00000000
17Wolfsburg00000000
18Werder Bremen00000000
> Bundesliga Full Table


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