Valencia logo
La Liga | Gameweek 37
May 18, 2025 at 6pm UK
Estadio de Mestalla
Athletic Bilbao logo

Valencia
0 - 1
Athletic Bilbao


Gaya (42'), Rioja (66'), Mir (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Berenguer (72')
Boiro Boiro (15')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Valencia and Athletic Bilbao, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Alaves 1-0 Valencia
Wednesday, May 14 at 6pm in La Liga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 31.45% and a draw had a probability of 29.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7.72%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 (11.42%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.

Result
ValenciaDrawAthletic Bilbao
39.39% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)29.16% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)31.45% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Both teams to score 43.88% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.22% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)62.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.69% (0.0030000000000001 0)82.3% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Valencia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.94% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)31.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.62% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)67.38% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)
Athletic Bilbao Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.65% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)36.35% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.86% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)73.14% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Score Analysis
    Valencia 39.39%
    Athletic Bilbao 31.44%
    Draw 29.15%
ValenciaDrawAthletic Bilbao
1-0 @ 13.2%
2-1 @ 7.81% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 7.72% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 3.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 3.01% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-2 @ 1.54%
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 39.39%
1-1 @ 13.35% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 11.29%
2-2 @ 3.95% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.56%
Total : 29.15%
0-1 @ 11.42%
1-2 @ 6.76% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 5.78% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 2.28%
0-3 @ 1.95% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 1.33%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 31.44%

How you voted: Valencia vs Athletic Bilbao

Valencia
52.0%
Draw
18.0%
Athletic Bilbao
30.0%
50
Head to Head
Aug 28, 2024 6pm
Gameweek 3
Athletic Bilbao
1-0
Valencia
Prados (45')
Prados (69')

Mir (23'), Mosquera (26'), Foulquier (90+3')
Jan 20, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 21
Valencia
1-0
Athletic Bilbao
Duro (61')

Williams (56'), Vivian (90'), Ares (90+2')
Oct 29, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 11
Athletic Bilbao
2-2
Valencia
De Marcos (32'), Berenguer (90+7')
Paredes (12'), Garcia (55'), Ruiz de Galarreta (87')
Perez (62'), Duro (68')
Amallah (57')
Feb 11, 2023 8pm
Jan 26, 2023 7pm
Quarter-Finals
Valencia
1-3
Athletic Bilbao
De Marcos (43' og.)
Muniain (35'), Williams (45'), Vesga (74' pen.)
rhs 2.0


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