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Heracles Almelo
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Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 34
May 18, 2025 at 1.30pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
PSV

Sparta
1 - 3
PSV

Zechiel (52')
Zechiel (42')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Perisic (27'), de Jong (58'), Tillman (84')
Tillman (43'), Boscagli (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and PSV Eindhoven, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sparta Rotterdam

All competitions
Last Game: Utrecht 1-1 Sparta
Wednesday, May 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Last Game: PSV 4-1 Heracles
Wednesday, May 14 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 54.65%. A win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 24.27% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.12%) and 0-1 (6.84%). The likeliest Sparta Rotterdam win was 2-1 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-3 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawPSV Eindhoven
24.27% (0.332 0.33)21.08% (0.298 0.3)54.65% (-0.622 -0.62)
Both teams to score 64.49% (-0.70399999999999 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.34% (-1.089 -1.09)33.66% (1.098 1.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
44.52% (-1.252 -1.25)55.48% (1.26 1.26)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.67% (-0.34899999999999 -0.35)26.33% (0.359 0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.54% (-0.47 -0.47)61.46% (0.48 0.48)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.53% (-0.532 -0.53)12.47% (0.539 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.57% (-1.125 -1.13)38.43% (1.134 1.13)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 24.27%
    PSV Eindhoven 54.65%
    Draw 21.08%
Sparta RotterdamDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 6.09% (0.099 0.1)
1-0 @ 4.38% (0.204 0.2)
2-0 @ 2.92% (0.108 0.11)
3-2 @ 2.82% (-0.042 -0.04)
3-1 @ 2.71% (0.017 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.3% (0.035 0.03)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-1 @ 0.9% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 24.27%
1-1 @ 9.12% (0.24 0.24)
2-2 @ 6.34% (-0.028 -0.03)
0-0 @ 3.28% (0.185 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.96% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 21.08%
1-2 @ 9.5% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
0-2 @ 7.12% (0.113 0.11)
0-1 @ 6.84% (0.248 0.25)
1-3 @ 6.59% (-0.102 -0.1)
0-3 @ 4.94% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-3 @ 4.4% (-0.113 -0.11)
1-4 @ 3.43% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-4 @ 2.57% (-0.068 -0.07)
2-4 @ 2.29% (-0.109 -0.11)
1-5 @ 1.43% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-5 @ 1.07% (-0.052 -0.05)
3-4 @ 1.02% (-0.059 -0.06)
2-5 @ 0.95% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 54.65%

How you voted: Sparta vs PSV

Sparta Rotterdam
3.0%
Draw
9.1%
PSV Eindhoven
87.9%
33
Head to Head
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