Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 71.93%. A draw had a probability of 15.6% and a win for Sparta Rotterdam had a probability of 12.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.46%) and 3-1 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.67%), while for a Sparta Rotterdam win it was 1-2 (3.54%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for PSV Eindhoven in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for PSV Eindhoven.
| Result | ||
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 71.93% ( | 15.6% ( | 12.47% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.07% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 72.5% ( | 27.5% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 51.89% ( | 48.11% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.27% ( | 6.73% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 75.12% ( | 24.88% ( |
| Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.47% ( | 34.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 28.75% ( | 71.25% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| PSV Eindhoven | Draw | Sparta Rotterdam |
| 2-1 @ 9% ( 2-0 @ 8.46% ( 3-1 @ 8.09% ( 3-0 @ 7.61% ( 1-0 @ 6.27% ( 4-1 @ 5.46% ( 4-0 @ 5.14% ( 3-2 @ 4.3% ( 5-1 @ 2.95% ( 4-2 @ 2.9% ( 5-0 @ 2.77% ( 5-2 @ 1.57% ( 6-1 @ 1.33% ( 6-0 @ 1.25% ( 4-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 3.8% Total : 71.93% | 1-1 @ 6.67% ( 2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0-0 @ 2.32% ( 3-3 @ 1.53% ( Other @ 0.31% Total : 15.6% | 1-2 @ 3.54% ( 0-1 @ 2.47% ( 2-3 @ 1.7% ( 0-2 @ 1.31% ( 1-3 @ 1.26% ( Other @ 2.19% Total : 12.47% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 103 | 39 | 64 | 79 |
| 2 | Ajax | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 78 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 68 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 62 | 45 | 17 | 64 |
| 5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 57 |
| 6 | FC Twente | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 54 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 55 | 2 | 51 |
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 43 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 57 | -15 | 43 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 41 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 41 |
| 12 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | Groningen | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 39 |
| 14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 38 |
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 34 | 58 | -24 | 33 |
| 16 | Willem II | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 26 |
| R | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 44 | 74 | -30 | 25 |
| R | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 23 | 64 | -41 | 22 |
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