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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 50.74%. A win for NEC had a probability of 25.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest NEC win was 0-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.
Result | ||
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | NEC |
50.74% (![]() | 24.1% (![]() | 25.16% (![]() |
Both teams to score 54.84% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.19% (![]() | 46.81% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.93% (![]() | 69.07% (![]() |
Sparta Rotterdam Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.53% (![]() | 18.47% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.33% (![]() | 49.67% (![]() |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.27% (![]() | 32.74% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.71% (![]() | 69.29% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sparta Rotterdam | Draw | NEC |
1-0 @ 10.21% (![]() 2-1 @ 9.63% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 8.63% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.42% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 4.86% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.03% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.29% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.05% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.28% ( ![]() Other @ 3.35% Total : 50.74% | 1-1 @ 11.4% 0-0 @ 6.05% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.38% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.13% ( ![]() Other @ 0.14% Total : 24.1% | 0-1 @ 6.75% (![]() 1-2 @ 6.37% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 3.77% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 2.37% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.4% ( ![]() Other @ 2.49% Total : 25.16% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 31 | 23 | 5 | 3 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 74 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 30 | 21 | 4 | 5 | 89 | 34 | 55 | 67 |
3 | Feyenoord | 30 | 18 | 8 | 4 | 68 | 32 | 36 | 62 |
4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 31 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 61 | 42 | 19 | 62 |
5 | FC Twente | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 56 | 44 | 12 | 48 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 48 | 34 | 14 | 47 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 47 |
8 | Heerenveen | 31 | 11 | 7 | 13 | 39 | 53 | -14 | 40 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | 34 | 49 | -15 | 36 |
10 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 35 |
11 | Groningen | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 35 |
12 | Heracles | 30 | 8 | 11 | 11 | 37 | 52 | -15 | 35 |
13 | NECNijmegen | 30 | 9 | 6 | 15 | 42 | 44 | -2 | 33 |
14 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 32 |
15 | PEC Zwolle | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 31 |
16 | Willem II | 30 | 6 | 6 | 18 | 30 | 50 | -20 | 24 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 31 | 4 | 8 | 19 | 21 | 59 | -38 | 20 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 30 | 4 | 7 | 19 | 35 | 62 | -27 | 19 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |