MX23RW : Monday, April 28 02:00:46| >> :300:86500:86500:
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heracles Almelo
NAC Breda
NEC
PEC Zwolle
PSV
Waalwijk logo
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Sparta Rotterdam logo
Eredivisie | Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2025 at 1.30pm UK
Sparta-Stadion Het Kasteel
NEC

Sparta
2 - 0
Nijmegen

Roefs (33' og.), Thorisson (84')
FT(HT: 1-0)

van Crooij (7'), Nuytinck (70'), Verdonk (90+4')
van Crooij (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Sparta Rotterdam and NEC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sittard 0-3 Sparta
Saturday, March 29 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Nijmegen 3-3 AZ
Saturday, March 29 at 8pm in Eredivisie

We said: Sparta Rotterdam 2-1 NEC

Although the visitors hold an advantage in the league table, it is fair to say that they should not be viewed as the favourites to prevail from this fixture. We are backing Sparta to extend their unbeaten streak to five matches with a hard-fought success, one which would see them leapfrog their opponents in the standings. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sparta Rotterdam win with a probability of 50.74%. A win for NEC had a probability of 25.16% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sparta Rotterdam win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest NEC win was 0-1 (6.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Sparta Rotterdam would win this match.

Result
Sparta RotterdamDrawNEC
50.74% (0.07 0.07) 24.1% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 25.16% (-0.061 -0.06)
Both teams to score 54.84% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.19% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)46.81% (0.041000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.93% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)69.07% (0.039999999999992 0.04)
Sparta Rotterdam Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.53% (0.016999999999996 0.02)18.47% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.33% (0.023000000000003 0.02)49.67% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
NEC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.27% (-0.066999999999993 -0.07)32.74% (0.073 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.71% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)69.29% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Sparta Rotterdam 50.74%
    NEC 25.16%
    Draw 24.1%
Sparta RotterdamDrawNEC
1-0 @ 10.21% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 8.63% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.42% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-0 @ 4.86% (0.013000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.29% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-0 @ 2.05% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.28% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 50.74%
1-1 @ 11.4%
0-0 @ 6.05% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.38% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.13% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 24.1%
0-1 @ 6.75% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 6.37% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 3.77% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.4% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 25.16%

Head to Head
Dec 15, 2024 1.30pm
Gameweek 16
Nijmegen
1-1
Sparta
Marquez (90')
Meijer (49')
Neghli (84')
Verschueren (3'), Eerdhuijzen (45+3')
Feb 24, 2024 8pm
Gameweek 23
Nijmegen
2-0
Sparta
Proper (32'), Verdonk (36')
Hansen (82')

Vriends (44'), Kitolano (45'), van der Kust (77'), el Dahri (90+5')
Sep 1, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 4
Sparta
1-1
Nijmegen
Kitolano (81' pen.)
Verschueren (16')
Proper (56')
Nuytinck (8'), Meijer (9'), Hansen (57'), Baas (65'), Rober (67'), Rober (70')
Jan 28, 2023 7pm
Oct 16, 2022 11.15am
Gameweek 10
Sparta
2-0
Nijmegen
Abels (7'), De Guzman (29')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Ajax31235363273674
2PSV EindhovenPSV30214589345567
3Feyenoord30188468323662
4FC UtrechtUtrecht31188561421962
5FC Twente30139856441248
6AZ AlkmaarAZ30138948341447
7Go Ahead Eagles3013895246647
8Heerenveen31117133953-1440
9Fortuna SittardSittard30106143449-1536
10Sparta RotterdamSparta30811113437-335
11Groningen3098133245-1335
12Heracles30811113752-1535
13NECNijmegen3096154244-233
14NAC BredaNAC Breda3088143250-1832
15PEC Zwolle30710133548-1331
16Willem II3066183050-2024
17Almere CityAlmere City3148192159-3820
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk3047193562-2719


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