

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Twente win with a probability of 64.19%. A draw had a probability of 19.8% and a win for NEC had a probability of 16.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Twente win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.9%) and 1-0 (9.5%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.24%), while for a NEC win it was 1-2 (4.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for FC Twente in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for FC Twente.
| Result | ||
| FC Twente | Draw | NEC |
| 64.19% ( | 19.76% ( | 16.06% ( |
| Both teams to score 54.88% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.24% ( | 39.76% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.88% ( | 62.12% ( |
| FC Twente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.29% ( | 11.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 63.17% ( | 36.83% ( |
| NEC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.16% ( | 37.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.39% ( | 74.61% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Twente | Draw | NEC |
| 2-0 @ 10.19% ( 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 1-0 @ 9.5% ( 3-0 @ 7.28% ( 3-1 @ 7.08% ( 4-0 @ 3.91% ( 4-1 @ 3.8% ( 3-2 @ 3.44% ( 4-2 @ 1.84% ( 5-0 @ 1.68% ( 5-1 @ 1.63% ( Other @ 3.94% Total : 64.19% | 1-1 @ 9.24% ( 2-2 @ 4.81% 0-0 @ 4.43% ( 3-3 @ 1.12% Other @ 0.16% Total : 19.76% | 1-2 @ 4.49% ( 0-1 @ 4.31% ( 0-2 @ 2.09% ( 2-3 @ 1.56% ( 1-3 @ 1.45% Other @ 2.15% Total : 16.06% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | PSV EindhovenPSV | 34 | 25 | 4 | 5 | 103 | 39 | 64 | 79 |
| 2 | Ajax | 34 | 24 | 6 | 4 | 67 | 32 | 35 | 78 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 34 | 20 | 8 | 6 | 76 | 38 | 38 | 68 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 34 | 18 | 10 | 6 | 62 | 45 | 17 | 64 |
| 5 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 34 | 16 | 9 | 9 | 58 | 37 | 21 | 57 |
| 6 | FC Twente | 34 | 15 | 9 | 10 | 62 | 49 | 13 | 54 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 57 | 55 | 2 | 51 |
| 8 | NECNijmegen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 51 | 46 | 5 | 43 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 42 | 57 | -15 | 43 |
| 10 | PEC Zwolle | 34 | 10 | 11 | 13 | 43 | 51 | -8 | 41 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 34 | 11 | 8 | 15 | 37 | 54 | -17 | 41 |
| 12 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 34 | 9 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 43 | -4 | 39 |
| 13 | Groningen | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 40 | 53 | -13 | 39 |
| 14 | Heracles | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 42 | 63 | -21 | 38 |
| 15 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 34 | 8 | 9 | 17 | 34 | 58 | -24 | 33 |
| 16 | Willem II | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 34 | 56 | -22 | 26 |
| R | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 44 | 74 | -30 | 25 |
| R | Almere CityAlmere City | 34 | 4 | 10 | 20 | 23 | 64 | -41 | 22 |
| > Eredivisie Full Table | |||||||||
