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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 60.19%. A win for NEC had a probability of 20.11% and a draw had a probability of 19.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.72%) and 1-3 (7.18%). The likeliest NEC win was 2-1 (5.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.51%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
NEC | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
20.11% (![]() | 19.69% (![]() | 60.19% (![]() |
Both teams to score 63.56% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.73% (![]() | 32.26% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.12% (![]() | 53.87% (![]() |
NEC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.04% | 28.95% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.15% (![]() | 64.84% (![]() |
PSV Eindhoven Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.46% (![]() | 10.53% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.76% (![]() | 34.23% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
NEC | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
2-1 @ 5.27% (![]() 1-0 @ 3.78% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.45% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 2.34% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.18% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 0.97% Other @ 3.12% Total : 20.11% | 1-1 @ 8.51% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.93% 0-0 @ 3.05% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.84% Other @ 0.36% Total : 19.69% | 1-2 @ 9.57% 0-2 @ 7.72% 1-3 @ 7.18% ( ![]() 0-1 @ 6.86% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 5.8% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.45% 1-4 @ 4.04% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 3.26% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 2.51% ( ![]() 1-5 @ 1.82% ( ![]() 0-5 @ 1.47% ( ![]() 2-5 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.04% Other @ 3.35% Total : 60.19% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Ajax | 26 | 20 | 4 | 2 | 55 | 20 | 35 | 64 |
2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 26 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 78 | 30 | 48 | 58 |
3 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 49 |
4 | Feyenoord | 25 | 13 | 8 | 4 | 54 | 29 | 25 | 47 |
5 | FC Twente | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 37 | 15 | 46 |
6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 45 | 29 | 16 | 45 |
7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 47 | 40 | 7 | 44 |
8 | Groningen | 26 | 8 | 8 | 10 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 32 |
9 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 32 |
10 | Heerenveen | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 46 | -14 | 31 |
11 | NECNijmegen | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 40 | 40 | 0 | 30 |
12 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 29 | 45 | -16 | 30 |
13 | PEC Zwolle | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 41 | -9 | 29 |
14 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 28 |
15 | Heracles | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 28 |
16 | Willem II | 27 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 28 | 44 | -16 | 24 |
17 | Almere CityAlmere City | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | 18 | 50 | -32 | 18 |
18 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 26 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 17 |
> Eredivisie Full Table |