Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a IFK Norrkoping win with a probability of 49.2%. A win for Oster had a probability of 26.77% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a IFK Norrkoping win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.06%). The likeliest Oster win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that IFK Norrkoping would win this match.