Eredivisie | Gameweek 20

Jan 25, 2025 at 5.45pm UK

Philips Stadion

PSV
3 - 2
NAC Breda

Til (35', 45+1'), Pepi (90+4')
Perisic (45+4')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Sauer (26'), Kostorz (90+6')
Kemper (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and NAC Breda, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Red Star 2-3 PSV
Tuesday, January 21 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

NAC Breda

All competitions

Last Game: NAC Breda 2-1 FC Twente
Sunday, January 19 at 11.15am in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 88.22%. A draw had a probability of 7.9% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 3.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (9.35%) and 2-0 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.55%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 1-2 (1.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.

Result
PSV Eindhoven	Draw	NAC Breda
88.22% ( 0.63)	7.93% ( -0.33)	3.86% ( -0.29)

Both teams to score 49.39% (

-1.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

79.84% (

0.16)

20.17% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

61.67% (

0.22)

38.33% (

-0.22)

PSV Eindhoven Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

97.15% (

0.1)

2.86% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

86.99% (

0.36)

13.01% (

-0.36)

NAC Breda Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.84% (

-1.12)

49.16% (

1.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.93% (

-0.81)

84.07% (

0.81)

Score Analysis

PSV Eindhoven 88.22%

NAC Breda 3.86%

Draw 7.93%

PSV Eindhoven	Draw	NAC Breda
3-0 @ 10.52% ( 0.19) 4-0 @ 9.35% ( 0.26) 2-0 @ 8.88% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 7.47% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 6.65% ( 0.25) 4-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 4.99% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 4.72% ( 0.03) 6-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.18) 6-1 @ 2.8% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.13) 4-2 @ 2.36% ( -0.09) 7-0 @ 2% ( 0.11) 5-2 @ 1.68% ( -0.04) 7-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.04) 6-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.85% Total : 88.22%	1-1 @ 3.55% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 2.24% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 1.4% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.74% Total : 7.93%	1-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 1% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.6% Total : 3.86%