

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Go Ahead Eagles win with a probability of 62.19%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for NAC Breda had a probability of 17.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Go Ahead Eagles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.76%) and 1-0 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a NAC Breda win it was 1-2 (4.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Go Ahead Eagles in this match.
| Result | ||
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 62.19% ( | 20.33% ( | 17.48% ( |
| Both teams to score 56.03% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.24% ( | 39.76% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.88% ( | 62.11% ( |
| Go Ahead Eagles Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.73% ( | 12.26% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62% ( | 38% ( |
| NAC Breda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.86% ( | 36.13% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 27.08% ( | 72.91% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Go Ahead Eagles | Draw | NAC Breda |
| 2-1 @ 9.93% 2-0 @ 9.76% ( 1-0 @ 9.3% ( 3-1 @ 6.95% ( 3-0 @ 6.83% ( 4-1 @ 3.65% ( 4-0 @ 3.58% ( 3-2 @ 3.54% ( 4-2 @ 1.86% ( 5-1 @ 1.53% ( 5-0 @ 1.5% ( Other @ 3.78% Total : 62.19% | 1-1 @ 9.47% ( 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 0-0 @ 4.43% ( 3-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 0.18% Total : 20.33% | 1-2 @ 4.82% ( 0-1 @ 4.51% ( 0-2 @ 2.3% ( 2-3 @ 1.72% ( 1-3 @ 1.64% ( Other @ 2.51% Total : 17.48% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Ajax | 28 | 22 | 4 | 2 | 60 | 21 | 39 | 70 |
| 2 | PSV EindhovenPSV | 29 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 86 | 33 | 53 | 64 |
| 3 | Feyenoord | 29 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 64 | 32 | 32 | 59 |
| 4 | FC UtrechtUtrecht | 28 | 15 | 8 | 5 | 50 | 41 | 9 | 53 |
| 5 | FC Twente | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 54 | 40 | 14 | 47 |
| 6 | AZ AlkmaarAZ | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | 47 | 32 | 15 | 46 |
| 7 | Go Ahead Eagles | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 52 | 46 | 6 | 46 |
| 8 | Sparta RotterdamSparta | 29 | 8 | 10 | 11 | 33 | 36 | -3 | 34 |
| 9 | Heerenveen | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 34 |
| 10 | NECNijmegen | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 42 | 43 | -1 | 33 |
| 11 | Fortuna SittardSittard | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 33 | 49 | -16 | 33 |
| 12 | Heracles | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 35 | 48 | -13 | 32 |
| 13 | Groningen | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 27 | 41 | -14 | 32 |
| 14 | NAC BredaNAC Breda | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 31 |
| 15 | PEC Zwolle | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 34 | 43 | -9 | 30 |
| 16 | Willem II | 28 | 6 | 6 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 24 |
| 17 | RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 19 |
| 18 | Almere CityAlmere City | 29 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 20 | 57 | -37 | 19 |
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