Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 37.12%. A win for Walsall had a probability of 34.87% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (6.85%). The likeliest Walsall win was 0-1 (11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.