Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 31.51% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.54%) and 2-0 (7.6%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (9.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood.