Mainz

2 - 2

B. Leverkusen

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 45.21%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 29.71% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.2%) and 0-2 (7.62%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.