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Bundesliga | Gameweek 32
May 4, 2025 at 6.30pm UK
Mewa Arena
Eintracht Frankfurt logo

Mainz
1 - 1
Frankfurt

Burkardt (57')
Amiri (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Eintracht Frankfurt, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 3-0 Mainz
Saturday, April 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 45.52%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 30.45% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.02%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 1-2 (7.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.

Result
Mainz 05DrawEintracht Frankfurt
45.52% (0.169 0.17)24.03% (0.0030000000000001 0)30.45% (-0.17 -0.17)
Both teams to score 59.26% (-0.109 -0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.12% (-0.103 -0.1)42.87% (0.102 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
34.72% (-0.102 -0.1)65.28% (0.10299999999999 0.1)
Mainz 05 Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.97% (0.028999999999996 0.03)19.03% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.4% (0.047000000000004 0.05)50.6% (-0.046000000000006 -0.05)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.18% (-0.16 -0.16)26.82% (0.161 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.89% (-0.214 -0.21)62.11% (0.214 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Mainz 05 45.52%
    Eintracht Frankfurt 30.45%
    Draw 24.02%
Mainz 05DrawEintracht Frankfurt
2-1 @ 9.25% (0.016 0.02)
1-0 @ 8.47% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.02% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.11% (0.014 0.01)
3-0 @ 3.89% (0.028 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.37% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.12% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.61% (0.013 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.4% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 45.52%
1-1 @ 11.14% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.08% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.1% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.48% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 24.02%
1-2 @ 7.33% (-0.027 -0.03)
0-1 @ 6.72%
0-2 @ 4.42% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-3 @ 3.22% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.67% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.06% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 30.45%

How you voted: Mainz vs Frankfurt

Mainz 05
29.4%
Draw
29.4%
Eintracht Frankfurt
41.2%
68
Head to Head
Dec 21, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Frankfurt
1-3
Mainz
Kristensen (75')
Bahoya (65')
Morais Vieira dos Santos (15' og.), Nebel (27', 58')
Mwene (11')
Amiri (21')
Jan 26, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 19
Frankfurt
1-0
Mainz
Gotze (72')
Pacho (24'), Nkounkou (34')

Widmer (40')
Aug 27, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Mainz
1-1
Frankfurt
Jae-sung (25')
Fernandes (55'), Kohr (75'), van den Berg (86')
Marmoush (90+1')
Koch (32'), Toppmoller (33'), Knauff (49'), Marmoush (90+2'), Svensson (90+6')
Knauff (61')
May 13, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 32
Frankfurt
3-0
Mainz
Kamada (18' pen.), Buta (40'), Kolo (59')
Tuta (30')

Bell (22'), Hanche-Olsen (38'), Shabani (88')
Nov 13, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Mainz
1-1
Frankfurt
Burkardt (40')
Kolo (67')
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
RHolstein Kiel3467214980-3125
RVfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425


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