Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-3 Mainz
Friday, March 7 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Friday, March 7 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
42
Last Game: Freiburg 0-0 RB Leipzig
Saturday, March 8 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Saturday, March 8 at 5.30pm in Bundesliga
Goals
for
for
34
We said: Mainz 05 1-1 Freiburg
With both teams in strong form and defensively solid, a tight, low-scoring contest seems likely, and with five of their last seven meetings ending in stalemates, another draw appears the most probable outcome. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 49.94%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 23.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.89%) and 2-1 (9.11%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.39%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (8.43%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Freiburg |
49.94% ( -0) | 26.42% | 23.64% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 46.38% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
