MX23RW : Thursday, June 5 01:38:26| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
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Stuttgart
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VfL Bochum
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Wolfsburg
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Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Heidenheim

Freiburg
1 - 0
Heidenheim

Grifo (30')
Eggestein (45+4'), Holer (55'), Grifo (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gimber (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 0-1 Freiburg
Saturday, February 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 1-2 Dortmund
Saturday, February 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 3-2 Heidenheim

While Freiburg have had a commendable sequence of results on home soil, the Breisgau Brazilians have let in at least two goals in each of the previous three Bundesliga contests in front of their supporters. With Heidenheim scoring two or more in three of their past five away matches, another goal-fest could ensue on Saturday, even if the hosts are backed to record a marginal triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 51.12%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawHeidenheim
51.12% (0.097000000000001 0.1) 23.53% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 25.35% (-0.099999999999998 -0.1)
Both teams to score 56.91% (-0.13 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.84% (-0.122 -0.12)44.16% (0.126 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.46% (-0.121 -0.12)66.54% (0.123 0.12)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.67% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)17.33% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.3% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)47.7% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.84% (-0.148 -0.15)31.16% (0.15 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.51% (-0.171 -0.17)67.5% (0.175 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 51.12%
    Heidenheim 25.35%
    Draw 23.53%
FreiburgDrawHeidenheim
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.048 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.3% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.85% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.12% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 51.12%
1-1 @ 11.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.4% (0.03 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.53%
1-2 @ 6.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.3% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.67% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 25.35%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Heidenheim

Freiburg
79.5%
Draw
18.2%
Heidenheim
2.3%
44
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Heidenheim
0-3
Freiburg

Pieringer (74')
Doan (54'), Grifo (59', 65')
Adamu (57')
May 11, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 33
Freiburg
1-1
Heidenheim
Doan (29')
Grifo (64')
Sessa (38')
Sessa (18')
Dec 20, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Heidenheim
3-2
Freiburg
Dinkci (52'), Kleindienst (84'), Ginter (90+2' og.)
Schoppner (33'), Fohrenbach (37'), Gimber (63')
Holer (7', 64')
Gulde (5'), Sildillia (36'), Rohl (60'), Hofler (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
RHolstein Kiel3467214980-3125
RVfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425


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