MX23RW : Tuesday, April 29 16:20:03| >> :300:86500:86500:
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Leverkusen logo
Bayern logo
Dortmund logo
Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Freiburg logo
Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
Mainz logo
Leipzig logo
Stuttgart
Union Berlin logo
VfL Bochum
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Wolfsburg
Freiburg logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Heidenheim

Freiburg
1 - 0
Heidenheim

Grifo (30')
Eggestein (45+4'), Holer (55'), Grifo (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gimber (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Heidenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: VfL Bochum 0-1 Freiburg
Saturday, February 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Heidenheim 1-2 Dortmund
Saturday, February 1 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Freiburg 3-2 Heidenheim

While Freiburg have had a commendable sequence of results on home soil, the Breisgau Brazilians have let in at least two goals in each of the previous three Bundesliga contests in front of their supporters. With Heidenheim scoring two or more in three of their past five away matches, another goal-fest could ensue on Saturday, even if the hosts are backed to record a marginal triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 51.12%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.47%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (6.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawHeidenheim
51.12% (0.097000000000001 0.1) 23.53% (0.0079999999999991 0.01) 25.35% (-0.099999999999998 -0.1)
Both teams to score 56.91% (-0.13 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.84% (-0.122 -0.12)44.16% (0.126 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.46% (-0.121 -0.12)66.54% (0.123 0.12)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.67% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)17.33% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.3% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)47.7% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Heidenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.84% (-0.148 -0.15)31.16% (0.15 0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.51% (-0.171 -0.17)67.5% (0.175 0.17)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 51.12%
    Heidenheim 25.35%
    Draw 23.53%
FreiburgDrawHeidenheim
2-1 @ 9.67% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 9.47% (0.048 0.05)
2-0 @ 8.3% (0.039 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.65% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 4.85% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.3% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.12% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.44% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 51.12%
1-1 @ 11.03% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.64% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.4% (0.03 0.03)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.53%
1-2 @ 6.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-1 @ 6.3% (0.008 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.67% (-0.01 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.19% (-0.016 -0.02)
0-3 @ 1.43% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 25.35%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Heidenheim

Freiburg
79.5%
Draw
18.2%
Heidenheim
2.3%
44
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 4
Heidenheim
0-3
Freiburg

Pieringer (74')
Doan (54'), Grifo (59', 65')
Adamu (57')
May 11, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 33
Freiburg
1-1
Heidenheim
Doan (29')
Grifo (64')
Sessa (38')
Sessa (18')
Dec 20, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Heidenheim
3-2
Freiburg
Dinkci (52'), Kleindienst (84'), Ginter (90+2' og.)
Schoppner (33'), Fohrenbach (37'), Gimber (63')
Holer (7', 64')
Gulde (5'), Sildillia (36'), Rohl (60'), Hofler (76')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


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