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Bundesliga

Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 17
Jan 14, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt am Main)
Freiburg logo

Frankfurt
4 - 1
Freiburg

Koch (43'), Marmoush (65'), Ekitike (71'), Collins (81')
Skhiri (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Doan (37')
Ginter (28')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Bundesliga clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: St Pauli 0-1 Frankfurt
Saturday, January 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Freiburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Freiburg 3-2 Holstein Kiel
Saturday, January 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eintracht Frankfurt win with a probability of 58.39%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.99%) and 1-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.85%), while for a Freiburg win it was 1-2 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Eintracht Frankfurt would win this match.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawFreiburg
58.39% (0.088000000000001 0.09)21.31% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)20.3% (-0.067 -0.07)
Both teams to score 57.86% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.18% (0.027000000000001 0.03)39.81% (-0.034999999999997 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.83% (0.030000000000001 0.03)62.16% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.61% (0.031000000000006 0.03)13.38% (-0.039 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.7% (0.071000000000005 0.07)40.29% (-0.079000000000001 -0.08)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.8% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)33.19% (0.042000000000002 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.19% (-0.053999999999998 -0.05)69.8% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 58.39%
    Freiburg 20.3%
    Draw 21.31%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 9.91% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.99% (0.011999999999999 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.93% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 6.64% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.02% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 3.66% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 3.34% (0.01 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.03% (0.012 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.84% (0.0030000000000001 0)
5-1 @ 1.34% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.22% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.46%
Total : 58.39%
1-1 @ 9.85% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.46% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.44% (-0.0070000000000006 -0.01)
3-3 @ 1.35% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 21.31%
1-2 @ 5.43% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.9% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.7% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 2% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 0.99% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 20.3%

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Freiburg

Eintracht Frankfurt
81.6%
Draw
14.6%
Freiburg
3.9%
103
Head to Head
Feb 18, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 22
Freiburg
3-3
Frankfurt
Doan (30'), Grifo (45+5' pen.), Gregoritsch (89')
Marmoush (27'), Knauff (35', 72')
> Preview
Sep 24, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 5
Frankfurt
0-0
Freiburg
Ebimbe (45+2'), Pacho (52'), Koch (86'), Trapp (86')
Ginter (33'), Eggestein (86')
> Preview
May 27, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Frankfurt
2-1
Freiburg
Kolo (83'), Ebimbe (90+1')
Sow (45+3'), Buta (64'), Ebimbe (90+4'), Aaronson (90+6')
Grifo (44')
Schmidt (34'), Eggestein (82')
> Preview
Jan 25, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Freiburg
1-1
Frankfurt
Ginter (47')
Kolo (42')
> Preview
Apr 10, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 29
Frankfurt
1-2
Freiburg
Kostic (54')
Hinteregger (45+4')
Grifo (27'), Petersen (69')
Demirovic (45+4'), Lienhart (83')
> Preview