Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 13

Dec 8, 2024 at 4.30pm UK

DnB NOR Arena

Hoffenheim
1 - 1
Freiburg

Bischof (73')
Geiger (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Ginter (68')
Osterhage (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Hoffenheim

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Wolfsburg 3-0 Hoffenheim
Wednesday, December 4 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Top scorers

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Arminia Bielefeld 3-1 Freiburg
Tuesday, December 3 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
Hoffenheim	Draw	Freiburg
43.07% ( 0.47)	23.5% ( 0.17)	33.43% ( -0.64)

Both teams to score 62.56% (

-0.85)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.88% (

-1.02)

39.11% (

1.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.56% (

-1.08)

61.44% (

1.08)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.46% (

-0.22)

18.53% (

0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.23% (

-0.37)

49.77% (

0.37)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.8% (

-0.83)

23.2% (

0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.9% (

-1.23)

57.09% (

1.23)

Score Analysis

Hoffenheim 43.07%

Freiburg 33.43%

Draw 23.49%

Hoffenheim	Draw	Freiburg
2-1 @ 8.92% ( 0.08) 1-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 6.11% ( 0.21) 3-1 @ 5.02% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.08) 3-0 @ 3.43% ( 0.09) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.54% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.58% Total : 43.07%	1-1 @ 10.58% ( 0.17) 2-2 @ 6.52% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.3% Total : 23.49%	1-2 @ 7.74% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 4.59% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 3.18% ( -0.13) 0-3 @ 2.24% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.16% ( -0.08) Other @ 3.11% Total : 33.43%