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Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Dec 8, 2024 at 4.30pm UK
DnB NOR Arena
Freiburg logo

Hoffenheim
1 - 1
Freiburg

Bischof (73')
Geiger (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Ginter (68')
Osterhage (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Hoffenheim and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Arminia Bielefeld 3-1 Freiburg
Tuesday, December 3 at 5pm in DFB-Pokal

We said: Hoffenheim 1-2 Freiburg

Hoffenheim are unlikely to create many chances in front of goal considering their poor record in recent weeks, and it is difficult to see them threatening Freiburg given their injury absentees. While Freiburg might struggle for periods on Sunday given their mixed form of late, they should be confident of victory and are no doubt favourites to claim all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 33.43% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.25%) and 2-0 (6.11%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.58%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood.

Result
HoffenheimDrawFreiburg
43.07% (0.468 0.47) 23.5% (0.17 0.17) 33.43% (-0.638 -0.64)
Both teams to score 62.56% (-0.846 -0.85)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.88% (-1.018 -1.02)39.11% (1.019 1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.56% (-1.076 -1.08)61.44% (1.077 1.08)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.46% (-0.218 -0.22)18.53% (0.219 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.23% (-0.37 -0.37)49.77% (0.372 0.37)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.8% (-0.831 -0.83)23.2% (0.831 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.9% (-1.226 -1.23)57.09% (1.228 1.23)
Score Analysis
    Hoffenheim 43.07%
    Freiburg 33.43%
    Draw 23.49%
HoffenheimDrawFreiburg
2-1 @ 8.92% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
1-0 @ 7.25% (0.293 0.29)
2-0 @ 6.11% (0.206 0.21)
3-1 @ 5.02% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.66% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-0 @ 3.43% (0.092 0.09)
4-1 @ 2.11% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.54% (-0.045 -0.04)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 43.07%
1-1 @ 10.58% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.52% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
0-0 @ 4.3% (0.203 0.2)
3-3 @ 1.78% (-0.085 -0.09)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 23.49%
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.061999999999999 -0.06)
0-1 @ 6.28% (0.147 0.15)
0-2 @ 4.59% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 3.77% (-0.125 -0.13)
2-3 @ 3.18% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.24% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-4 @ 1.38% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-4 @ 1.16% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 3.11%
Total : 33.43%

How you voted: Hoffenheim vs Freiburg

Hoffenheim
22.7%
Draw
18.2%
Freiburg
59.1%
66
Head to Head
Jan 20, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Freiburg
3-2
Hoffenheim
Holer (37'), Grifo (55'), Sallai (85')
Gulde (43'), Grifo (56')
Gulde (82')
Weghorst (57'), Beier (77')
Kaderabek (8'), Kabak (31'), Philipp (87')
Aug 19, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Hoffenheim
1-2
Freiburg
Kabak (50')
Szalai (39' og.), Sallai (45+3')
Lienhart (15')
Mar 12, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 24
Freiburg
2-1
Hoffenheim
Eggestein (5'), Doan (89')
Stiller (48')
Sep 18, 2022 6.30pm
Apr 30, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 32
Hoffenheim
3-4
Freiburg
Kramaric (32'), Stiller (49'), Rudy (84')
Samassekou (45')
Sallai (23'), Gunter (50'), Holer (70'), Woo-yeong (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


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