Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 7

Oct 19, 2024 at 2.30pm UK

Schwarzwald-Stadion

Freiburg
3 - 1
Augsburg

Grifo (34'), Lienhart (37'), Gunter (45+1')
Lienhart (24')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Tietz (65')
Komur (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-1 Freiburg
Saturday, October 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Augsburg

All competitions

Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Borussia M'bach
Friday, October 4 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
Freiburg	Draw	Augsburg
46.1% ( 1.17)	23.46% ( 0.02)	30.44% ( -1.18)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Bayern Munich Bayern	34	25	7	2	99	32	67	82
2	Bayer Leverkusen B. Leverkusen	34	19	12	3	72	43	29	69
3	Eintracht Frankfurt Frankfurt	34	17	9	8	68	46	22	60
4	Borussia Dortmund Dortmund	34	17	6	11	71	51	20	57
5	Freiburg	34	16	7	11	49	53	-4	55
6	Mainz 05 Mainz	34	14	10	10	55	43	12	52
7	RB Leipzig	34	13	12	9	53	48	5	51
8	Werder Bremen	34	14	9	11	54	57	-3	51
9	Stuttgart	34	14	8	12	64	53	11	50
10	Borussia Monchengladbach Borussia M'bach	34	13	6	15	55	57	-2	45
11	Wolfsburg	34	11	10	13	56	54	2	43
12	Augsburg	34	11	10	13	35	51	-16	43
13	Union Berlin Union Berlin	34	10	10	14	35	51	-16	40
14	St Pauli	34	8	8	18	28	41	-13	32
15	Hoffenheim	34	7	11	16	46	68	-22	32
16	Heidenheim	34	8	5	21	37	64	-27	29
R	Holstein Kiel	34	6	7	21	49	80	-31	25
R	VfL Bochum VfL Bochum	34	6	7	21	33	67	-34	25
					> Bundesliga Full Table

Freiburg	Draw	Augsburg
2-1 @ 9.24% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 7.83% ( 0.29) 2-0 @ 6.77% ( 0.29) 3-1 @ 5.33% ( 0.11) 3-0 @ 3.9% ( 0.19) 3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 2.3% ( 0.06) 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 0.09) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.84% Total : 46.1%	1-1 @ 10.69% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6.32% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.46%	1-2 @ 7.3% ( -0.17) 0-1 @ 6.18% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.22% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 3.33% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 2.88% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( -0.12) 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0.1) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.48% Total : 30.44%