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Bundesliga

Freiburg logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 7
Oct 19, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Schwarzwald-Stadion
Augsburg logo

Freiburg
3 - 1
Augsburg

Grifo (34'), Lienhart (37'), Gunter (45+1')
Lienhart (24')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Tietz (65')
Komur (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Freiburg and Augsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Last Game: Werder Bremen 0-1 Freiburg
Saturday, October 5 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Augsburg

All competitions
Last Game: Augsburg 2-1 Borussia M'bach
Friday, October 4 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 46.1%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.77%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.69%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
FreiburgDrawAugsburg
46.1% (1.166 1.17)23.46% (0.015999999999998 0.02)30.44% (-1.178 -1.18)
Both teams to score 61.27% (-0.70399999999999 -0.7)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.78% (-0.653 -0.65)40.21% (0.657 0.66)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.41% (-0.68 -0.68)62.59% (0.683 0.68)
Freiburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.26% (0.20899999999999 0.21)17.74% (-0.205 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.58% (0.357 0.36)48.42% (-0.353 -0.35)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.49% (-1.044 -1.04)25.51% (1.048 1.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.65% (-1.45 -1.45)60.35% (1.455 1.46)
Score Analysis
    Freiburg 46.1%
    Augsburg 30.44%
    Draw 23.46%
FreiburgDrawAugsburg
2-1 @ 9.24% (0.125 0.13)
1-0 @ 7.83% (0.285 0.29)
2-0 @ 6.77% (0.29 0.29)
3-1 @ 5.33% (0.106 0.11)
3-0 @ 3.9% (0.192 0.19)
3-2 @ 3.64% (-0.037 -0.04)
4-1 @ 2.3% (0.061 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.69% (0.094 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.57% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 46.1%
1-1 @ 10.69% (0.08 0.08)
2-2 @ 6.32% (-0.106 -0.11)
0-0 @ 4.53% (0.135 0.14)
3-3 @ 1.66% (-0.068 -0.07)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.46%
1-2 @ 7.3% (-0.172 -0.17)
0-1 @ 6.18% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 4.22% (-0.128 -0.13)
1-3 @ 3.33% (-0.183 -0.18)
2-3 @ 2.88% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.92% (-0.119 -0.12)
1-4 @ 1.14% (-0.099 -0.1)
2-4 @ 0.98% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 30.44%

How you voted: Freiburg vs Augsburg

Freiburg
89.7%
Draw
8.6%
Augsburg
1.7%
58
Head to Head
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Freiburg
Uduokhai (72'), Engels (81')
Vargas (23'), Bauer (79'), Iago (89')
Grifo (19' pen.)
Hofler (79')
> Preview
Oct 1, 2023 4.30pm
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Augsburg
Grifo (5' pen.), Lienhart (56')
Rohl (50'), Sildillia (75')

Breithaupt (60'), Michel (84')
> Preview
Jan 28, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 18
Freiburg
3-1
Augsburg
Gregoritsch (13'), Holer (30'), Lienhart (85')
Berisha (29' pen.)
> Preview
Aug 6, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Augsburg
0-4
Freiburg
Gregoritsch (46'), Grifo (48'), Ginter (61'), Doan (78')
> Preview
Feb 19, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 23
Augsburg
1-2
Freiburg
Gregoritsch (16')
Hahn (63')
Petersen (4'), Schlotterbeck (26')
Schlotterbeck (75')
> Preview
rhs 2.0


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