

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 37.67%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 37.67% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.86%) and 0-2 (5.74%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | Freiburg |
| 37.67% ( | 24.66% ( | 37.67% ( |
| Both teams to score 59% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.93% ( | 44.07% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.55% ( | 66.45% ( |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.81% ( | 23.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.92% ( | 57.08% ( |
| Freiburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.81% ( | 23.19% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 42.92% ( | 57.08% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Augsburg | Draw | Freiburg |
| 2-1 @ 8.39% ( 1-0 @ 7.86% ( 2-0 @ 5.74% ( 3-1 @ 4.09% ( 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 3-0 @ 2.8% ( 4-1 @ 1.49% ( 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 4-0 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.19% Total : 37.67% | 1-1 @ 11.48% ( 2-2 @ 6.13% ( 0-0 @ 5.38% ( 3-3 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.66% | 1-2 @ 8.39% ( 0-1 @ 7.86% ( 0-2 @ 5.74% ( 1-3 @ 4.09% ( 2-3 @ 2.99% ( 0-3 @ 2.8% ( 1-4 @ 1.49% ( 2-4 @ 1.09% ( 0-4 @ 1.02% ( Other @ 2.19% Total : 37.67% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 72 | 20 | 52 | 61 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 24 | 15 | 8 | 1 | 55 | 28 | 27 | 53 |
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 42 |
| 4 | Mainz 05Mainz | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 25 | 14 | 41 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 40 |
| 6 | RB Leipzig | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 39 | 33 | 6 | 38 |
| 7 | Wolfsburg | 24 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 48 | 38 | 10 | 37 |
| 8 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 38 | 35 | 3 | 37 |
| 9 | Stuttgart | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 42 | 37 | 5 | 36 |
| 10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 38 | 7 | 35 |
| 11 | Augsburg | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 35 | -8 | 32 |
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 36 | 49 | -13 | 30 |
| 13 | Hoffenheim | 24 | 6 | 7 | 11 | 31 | 46 | -15 | 25 |
| 14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 21 | 36 | -15 | 24 |
| 15 | St Pauli | 24 | 6 | 3 | 15 | 18 | 29 | -11 | 21 |
| 16 | Holstein Kiel | 24 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 16 |
| 17 | Heidenheim | 24 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 27 | 50 | -23 | 15 |
| 18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 24 | 3 | 6 | 15 | 22 | 48 | -26 | 15 |
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