

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 48.78%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Augsburg |
| 48.78% ( | 23.06% ( | 28.16% ( |
| Both teams to score 61.14% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.29% ( | 39.71% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.93% ( | 62.06% ( |
| VfL Bochum Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.47% ( | 16.53% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 53.72% ( | 46.28% ( |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.25% ( | 26.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.98% ( | 62.01% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| VfL Bochum | Draw | Augsburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 1-0 @ 7.96% ( 2-0 @ 7.16% ( 3-1 @ 5.67% ( 3-0 @ 4.3% ( 3-2 @ 3.74% ( 4-1 @ 2.55% ( 4-0 @ 1.93% ( 4-2 @ 1.68% ( 5-1 @ 0.92% ( Other @ 3.43% Total : 48.78% | 1-1 @ 10.49% ( 2-2 @ 6.23% ( 0-0 @ 4.42% ( 3-3 @ 1.64% ( Other @ 0.27% Total : 23.05% | 1-2 @ 6.92% ( 0-1 @ 5.83% ( 0-2 @ 3.85% ( 1-3 @ 3.04% ( 2-3 @ 2.74% ( 0-3 @ 1.69% ( 1-4 @ 1% ( 2-4 @ 0.9% ( Other @ 2.19% Total : 28.16% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 29 | 21 | 6 | 2 | 83 | 29 | 54 | 69 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 29 | 18 | 9 | 2 | 63 | 34 | 29 | 63 |
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 55 | 42 | 13 | 48 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 48 |
| 5 | Mainz 05Mainz | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 46 |
| 6 | Freiburg | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 45 |
| 7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 29 | 13 | 5 | 11 | 46 | 43 | 3 | 44 |
| 8 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 54 | 45 | 9 | 42 |
| 9 | Augsburg | 29 | 11 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 40 | -7 | 42 |
| 10 | Stuttgart | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 51 | 44 | 7 | 40 |
| 11 | Werder Bremen | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 45 | 53 | -8 | 39 |
| 12 | Wolfsburg | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 51 | 45 | 6 | 38 |
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 34 |
| 14 | Hoffenheim | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 30 |
| 15 | St Pauli | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 29 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 32 | 53 | -21 | 22 |
| 17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 29 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 29 | 61 | -32 | 20 |
| 18 | Holstein Kiel | 29 | 4 | 6 | 19 | 40 | 70 | -30 | 18 |
| > Bundesliga Full Table | |||||||||
