Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 15

Dec 21, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

BayArena

B. Leverkusen
5 - 1
Freiburg

Schick (45+1', 67', 74', 77'), Wirtz (51')
Schick (78')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Grifo (55')
Kubler (24'), Rohl (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayer Leverkusen and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Augsburg 0-2 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, December 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Freiburg 3-2 Wolfsburg
Friday, December 13 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 72.49%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Freiburg had a probability of 10.85%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.67%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.86%), while for a Freiburg win it was 0-1 (3.28%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Freiburg
72.49% ( 0.17)	16.67% ( -0.09)	10.85% ( -0.07)

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Bayern Munich Bayern	34	25	7	2	99	32	67	82
2	Bayer Leverkusen B. Leverkusen	34	19	12	3	72	43	29	69
3	Eintracht Frankfurt Frankfurt	34	17	9	8	68	46	22	60
4	Borussia Dortmund Dortmund	34	17	6	11	71	51	20	57
5	Freiburg	34	16	7	11	49	53	-4	55
6	Mainz 05 Mainz	34	14	10	10	55	43	12	52
7	RB Leipzig	34	13	12	9	53	48	5	51
8	Werder Bremen	34	14	9	11	54	57	-3	51
9	Stuttgart	34	14	8	12	64	53	11	50
10	Borussia Monchengladbach Borussia M'bach	34	13	6	15	55	57	-2	45
11	Wolfsburg	34	11	10	13	56	54	2	43
12	Augsburg	34	11	10	13	35	51	-16	43
13	Union Berlin Union Berlin	34	10	10	14	35	51	-16	40
14	St Pauli	34	8	8	18	28	41	-13	32
15	Hoffenheim	34	7	11	16	46	68	-22	32
16	Heidenheim	34	8	5	21	37	64	-27	29
R	Holstein Kiel	34	6	7	21	49	80	-31	25
R	VfL Bochum VfL Bochum	34	6	7	21	33	67	-34	25
					> Bundesliga Full Table

Bayer Leverkusen	Draw	Freiburg
2-0 @ 11.59% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.67% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.43% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 9.26% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 5.55% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 4.51% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.06% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 2.66% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 2.17% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.84% ( 0.02) 6-0 @ 1.06% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.15% Total : 72.49%	1-1 @ 7.86% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 4.03% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 3.83% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 16.67%	0-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 3.2% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 1.33% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.04% Other @ 2% Total : 10.85%

Bundesliga

B. Leverkusen5 - 1Freiburg

The Match

Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

Freiburg

Data Analysis

How you voted: B. Leverkusen vs Freiburg

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