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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 45.92%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 29.27% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.28%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-0 (7.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
Result | ||
Augsburg | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
29.27% (![]() | 24.81% (![]() | 45.92% (![]() |
Both teams to score 55.86% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.97% (![]() | 47.02% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.73% (![]() | 69.27% (![]() |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.3% (![]() | 29.7% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.24% (![]() | 65.76% (![]() |
Bayer Leverkusen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.46% (![]() | 20.54% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.95% (![]() | 53.05% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Augsburg | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen |
1-0 @ 7.41% (![]() 2-1 @ 7.12% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.5% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 2.88% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.28% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 1.82% ( ![]() Other @ 3.28% Total : 29.27% | 1-1 @ 11.72% 0-0 @ 6.1% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 5.63% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.2% ( ![]() Other @ 0.16% Total : 24.81% | 0-1 @ 9.66% (![]() 1-2 @ 9.28% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 7.64% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.89% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 4.03% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.97% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.94% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.6% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.18% ( ![]() Other @ 2.74% Total : 45.92% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99 | 32 | 67 | 82 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 69 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 60 |
4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 57 |
5 | Freiburg | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 55 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 52 |
7 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 51 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 51 |
9 | Stuttgart | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 50 |
10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 45 |
11 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 43 |
12 | Augsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 43 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 |
14 | St Pauli | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 32 |
16 | Heidenheim | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 |
R | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 49 | 80 | -31 | 25 |
R | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 25 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |