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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 60.73%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 19.95% and a draw had a probability of 19.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.45%) and 1-3 (7.28%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (5.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.
| Result | ||
| Freiburg | Draw | Bayern Munich | 
| 19.95% (  1.41) | 19.31% (  0.09) | 60.73% (  -1.51) | 
| Both teams to score 64.74% (  2.4) | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 69.35% (  1.93) | 30.64% (  -1.93) | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 48.03% (  2.27) | 51.96% (  -2.27) | 
| Freiburg Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.87% (  2.51) | 28.13% (  -2.52) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 36.19% (  3.08) | 63.8% (  -3.09) | 
| Bayern Munich Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 90.08% (  0.19) | 9.92% (  -0.2) | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 67.16% (  0.46) | 32.83% (  -0.46) | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Freiburg | Draw | Bayern Munich | 
| 2-1 @ 5.19% (  0.22) 1-0 @ 3.54% (  -0.13) 3-2 @ 2.53% (  0.29) 2-0 @ 2.24% (  0.08) 3-1 @ 2.19% (  0.23) 3-0 @ 0.95% (  0.09) Other @ 3.31% Total : 19.95% | 1-1 @ 8.18% (  -0.22) 2-2 @ 5.99% (  0.3) 0-0 @ 2.79% (  -0.31) 3-3 @ 1.95% (  0.24) Other @ 0.4% Total : 19.31% | 1-2 @ 9.45% (  -0.18) 0-2 @ 7.45% (  -0.69) 1-3 @ 7.28% (  -0.07) 0-1 @ 6.45% (  -0.66) 0-3 @ 5.74% (  -0.48) 2-3 @ 4.62% (  0.27) 1-4 @ 4.2% (  -0) 0-4 @ 3.32% (  -0.24) 2-4 @ 2.67% (  0.18) 1-5 @ 1.94% (  0.02) 0-5 @ 1.53% (  -0.1) 2-5 @ 1.23% (  0.09) 3-4 @ 1.13% (  0.15) Other @ 3.74% Total : 60.73% | 

| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99 | 32 | 67 | 82 | 
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 69 | 
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 60 | 
| 4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 57 | 
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 55 | 
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 52 | 
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 51 | 
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 51 | 
| 9 | Stuttgart | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 50 | 
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 45 | 
| 11 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 43 | 
| 12 | Augsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 43 | 
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 | 
| 14 | St Pauli | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 | 
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 32 | 
| 16 | Heidenheim | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 | 
| R | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 49 | 80 | -31 | 25 | 
| R | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 25 | 
| > Bundesliga Full Table | |||||||||
