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Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Wolfsburg

Bayern
3 - 2
Wolfsburg

Goretzka (20', 62'), Olise (39')
Kimmich (79'), Laimer (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
El Amine Amoura (24', 88')
Maehle (45+2'), Wimmer (61'), Fischer (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Bayern 5-0 Hoffenheim
Wednesday, January 15 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Wolfsburg

All competitions
Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 5-1 Borussia M'bach
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 82.17%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 6.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 3-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.26%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawWolfsburg
82.17% (1.157 1.16)11.46% (-0.674 -0.67)6.37% (-0.489 -0.49)
Both teams to score 50.68% (0.13 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.72% (1.515 1.52)27.28% (-1.522 -1.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.16% (1.888 1.89)47.84% (-1.893 -1.89)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.09% (0.479 0.48)4.91% (-0.485 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.3% (1.428 1.43)19.7% (-1.434 -1.43)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.29% (-0.135 -0.13)46.71% (0.13 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.73% (-0.104 -0.1)82.26% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 82.17%
    Wolfsburg 6.37%
    Draw 11.46%
Bayern MunichDrawWolfsburg
3-0 @ 10.46% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.41% (-0.29 -0.29)
3-1 @ 7.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-1 @ 7.93% (-0.254 -0.25)
4-0 @ 7.89% (0.274 0.27)
1-0 @ 6.91% (-0.423 -0.42)
4-1 @ 6% (0.188 0.19)
5-0 @ 4.76% (0.308 0.31)
5-1 @ 3.62% (0.223 0.22)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
6-0 @ 2.39% (0.224 0.22)
4-2 @ 2.29% (0.063 0.06)
6-1 @ 1.82% (0.165 0.17)
5-2 @ 1.38% (0.08 0.08)
7-0 @ 1.03% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 82.17%
1-1 @ 5.26% (-0.343 -0.34)
2-2 @ 3.02% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-0 @ 2.29% (-0.219 -0.22)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 11.46%
1-2 @ 2% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-1 @ 1.74% (-0.174 -0.17)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 6.37%

How you voted: Bayern vs Wolfsburg

Bayern Munich
81.7%
Draw
15.0%
Wolfsburg
3.3%
60
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Wolfsburg
2-3
Bayern
Majer (47' pen., 55')
Svanberg (71'), Zesiger (82')
Musiala (20'), Kaminski (65' og.), Gnabry (82')
Kane (31'), Boey (46'), Musiala (70')
> Preview
May 12, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 33
Bayern
2-0
Wolfsburg
Zvonarek (4'), Goretzka (13')

Majer (53'), Lacroix (90+3')
> Preview
Dec 20, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Wolfsburg
1-2
Bayern
Arnold (45+1')
Zesiger (11'), Majer (46'), Baku (59'), Tomas (90+1')
Musiala (33'), Kane (43')
Pavlovic (20'), Guerreiro (90+1')
> Preview
Feb 5, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 19
Wolfsburg
2-4
Bayern
Kaminski (44'), Svanberg (80')
Coman (9', 14'), Muller (19'), Musiala (73')
> Preview
Aug 14, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Bayern
2-0
Wolfsburg
Musiala (33'), Muller (44')
Hernandez (15'), Ulreich (23')

Svanberg (52')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CBayern MunichBayern34257299326782
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen341912372432969
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt34179868462260
4Borussia DortmundDortmund341761171512057
5Freiburg34167114953-455
6Mainz 05Mainz3414101055431252
7RB Leipzig34131295348551
8Werder Bremen34149115457-351
9Stuttgart341481264531150
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach34136155557-245
11Wolfsburg341110135654243
12Augsburg341110133551-1643
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin341010143551-1640
14St Pauli3488182841-1332
15Hoffenheim34711164668-2232
16Heidenheim3485213764-2729
RHolstein Kiel3467214980-3125
RVfL BochumVfL Bochum3467213367-3425
> Bundesliga Full Table


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