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Bundesliga | Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2025 at 2.30pm UK
Allianz Arena
Wolfsburg

Bayern
3 - 2
Wolfsburg

Goretzka (20', 62'), Olise (39')
Kimmich (79'), Laimer (83')
FT(HT: 2-1)
El Amine Amoura (24', 88')
Maehle (45+2'), Wimmer (61'), Fischer (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Wolfsburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bayern 5-0 Hoffenheim
Wednesday, January 15 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Wolfsburg 5-1 Borussia M'bach
Tuesday, January 14 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: Bayern Munich 2-2 Wolfsburg

Wolfsburg will surrender possession and look to make the most of counter-attacks, and they could have some success considering the hosts will be without Palhinha in midfield. However, it is difficult to see how the Wolves can keep Bayern at bay, and the Bavarians are likely to have numerous opportunities in the final third. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 82.17%. A draw had a probability of 11.5% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 6.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.41%) and 3-1 (7.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.26%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (2%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawWolfsburg
82.17% (1.157 1.16) 11.46% (-0.674 -0.67) 6.37% (-0.489 -0.49)
Both teams to score 50.68% (0.13 0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.72% (1.515 1.52)27.28% (-1.522 -1.52)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.16% (1.888 1.89)47.84% (-1.893 -1.89)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
95.09% (0.479 0.48)4.91% (-0.485 -0.48)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
80.3% (1.428 1.43)19.7% (-1.434 -1.43)
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.29% (-0.135 -0.13)46.71% (0.13 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.73% (-0.104 -0.1)82.26% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 82.17%
    Wolfsburg 6.37%
    Draw 11.46%
Bayern MunichDrawWolfsburg
3-0 @ 10.46% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 10.41% (-0.29 -0.29)
3-1 @ 7.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-1 @ 7.93% (-0.254 -0.25)
4-0 @ 7.89% (0.274 0.27)
1-0 @ 6.91% (-0.423 -0.42)
4-1 @ 6% (0.188 0.19)
5-0 @ 4.76% (0.308 0.31)
5-1 @ 3.62% (0.223 0.22)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.011 -0.01)
6-0 @ 2.39% (0.224 0.22)
4-2 @ 2.29% (0.063 0.06)
6-1 @ 1.82% (0.165 0.17)
5-2 @ 1.38% (0.08 0.08)
7-0 @ 1.03% (0.126 0.13)
Other @ 4.3%
Total : 82.17%
1-1 @ 5.26% (-0.343 -0.34)
2-2 @ 3.02% (-0.108 -0.11)
0-0 @ 2.29% (-0.219 -0.22)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 11.46%
1-2 @ 2% (-0.138 -0.14)
0-1 @ 1.74% (-0.174 -0.17)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 6.37%

How you voted: Bayern vs Wolfsburg

Bayern Munich
81.7%
Draw
15.0%
Wolfsburg
3.3%
60
Head to Head
Aug 25, 2024 2.30pm
Gameweek 1
Wolfsburg
2-3
Bayern
Majer (47' pen., 55')
Svanberg (71'), Zesiger (82')
Musiala (20'), Kaminski (65' og.), Gnabry (82')
Kane (31'), Boey (46'), Musiala (70')
May 12, 2024 4.30pm
Gameweek 33
Bayern
2-0
Wolfsburg
Zvonarek (4'), Goretzka (13')

Majer (53'), Lacroix (90+3')
Dec 20, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 16
Wolfsburg
1-2
Bayern
Arnold (45+1')
Zesiger (11'), Majer (46'), Baku (59'), Tomas (90+1')
Musiala (33'), Kane (43')
Pavlovic (20'), Guerreiro (90+1')
Feb 5, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 19
Wolfsburg
2-4
Bayern
Kaminski (44'), Svanberg (80')
Coman (9', 14'), Muller (19'), Musiala (73')
Aug 14, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 2
Bayern
2-0
Wolfsburg
Musiala (33'), Muller (44')
Hernandez (15'), Ulreich (23')

Svanberg (52')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


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