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Bundesliga | Gameweek 12
Nov 30, 2024 at 5.30pm UK
Signal-Iduna-Park
Bayern logo

Dortmund
1 - 1
Bayern

Bynoe-Gittens (27')
Ryerson (71'), Sahin (80'), Beier (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Musiala (85')
Sane (88'), Upamecano (90+3')

The Match

Match Report

Sports Mole looks at the highlights, man of the match, and stats from Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Dortmund and Bayern Munich, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dinamo Zagreb 0-3 Dortmund
Wednesday, November 27 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Bayern 1-0 PSG
Tuesday, November 26 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.82%. A win for Bayern Munich had a probability of 34.82% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.79%) and 2-0 (5.27%). The likeliest Bayern Munich win was 1-2 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
Borussia DortmundDrawBayern Munich
42.82% (-2.546 -2.55) 22.36% (0.744 0.74) 34.82% (1.811 1.81)
Both teams to score 67.37% (-2.24 -2.24)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
66.97% (-3.165 -3.17)33.03% (3.175 3.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.25% (-3.732 -3.73)54.76% (3.742 3.74)
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.83% (-2.156 -2.16)16.17% (2.165 2.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.36% (-4.086 -4.09)45.64% (4.096 4.1)
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.36% (-0.583 -0.58)19.64% (0.592 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.4% (-0.967 -0.97)51.6% (0.976 0.98)
Score Analysis
    Borussia Dortmund 42.82%
    Bayern Munich 34.82%
    Draw 22.36%
Borussia DortmundDrawBayern Munich
2-1 @ 8.58% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
1-0 @ 5.79% (0.543 0.54)
2-0 @ 5.27% (0.117 0.12)
3-1 @ 5.21% (-0.389 -0.39)
3-2 @ 4.24% (-0.403 -0.4)
3-0 @ 3.2% (-0.176 -0.18)
4-1 @ 2.37% (-0.378 -0.38)
4-2 @ 1.93% (-0.35 -0.35)
4-0 @ 1.46% (-0.201 -0.2)
4-3 @ 1.05% (-0.213 -0.21)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 42.82%
1-1 @ 9.42% (0.722 0.72)
2-2 @ 6.98% (-0.104 -0.1)
0-0 @ 3.18% (0.508 0.51)
3-3 @ 2.3% (-0.266 -0.27)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 22.36%
1-2 @ 7.67% (0.454 0.45)
0-1 @ 5.17% (0.746 0.75)
0-2 @ 4.21% (0.539 0.54)
1-3 @ 4.16% (0.173 0.17)
2-3 @ 3.79% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-3 @ 2.28% (0.255 0.26)
1-4 @ 1.69% (0.04 0.04)
2-4 @ 1.54% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-4 @ 0.94% (-0.128 -0.13)
0-4 @ 0.93% (0.088 0.09)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 34.82%

How you voted: Dortmund vs Bayern

Borussia Dortmund
21.9%
Draw
12.5%
Bayern Munich
65.6%
128
Head to Head
Mar 30, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 27
Bayern
0-2
Dortmund
Adeyemi (10'), Ryerson (83')
Nov 4, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 10
Dortmund
0-4
Bayern

Hummels (61'), Ryerson (74'), Sabitzer (76')
Upamecano (4'), Kane (9', 72', 90+3')
Sane (22'), Tuchel (42'), Laimer (85')
Apr 1, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 26
Bayern
4-2
Dortmund
Kobel (13' og.), Muller (18', 23'), Coman (50')
Can (72' pen.), Malen (90')
Oct 8, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 9
Dortmund
2-2
Bayern
Moukoko (74'), Modeste (90+5')
Goretzka (33'), Sane (53')
Apr 23, 2022 5.30pm
Gameweek 31
Bayern
3-1
Dortmund
Gnabry (15'), Lewandowski (34'), Musiala (83')
Nagelsmann (87')
Can (52' pen.)
Can (40'), Rose (41')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31236290296175
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311910266353167
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt31167862422055
4Freiburg31156104447-351
5RB Leipzig31131084842649
6Borussia DortmundDortmund311461160491148
7Mainz 05Mainz31138104839947
8Werder Bremen31137114854-646
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31135135150144
10Augsburg311110103342-943
11Stuttgart31118125651541
12Wolfsburg31109125348539
13Union BerlinUnion Berlin3199133145-1436
14St Pauli3187162636-1031
15Hoffenheim3179154058-1830
16Heidenheim3174203360-2725
17Holstein Kiel3157194574-2922
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum3156203063-3321


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