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Bundesliga
Apr 23, 2022 at 5.30pm UK at Allianz Arena
Bayern
3 - 1
Dortmund
Gnabry (15'), Lewandowski (34'), Musiala (83')
Nagelsmann (87')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Can (52' pen.)
Can (40'), Rose (41')
The Match
Preview
Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.
More game data and we say below the videos

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayern Munich

Last Six:
Last Game: Wolfsburg 2-2 Bayern
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: Viktoria Koln vs. Bayern
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

Borussia Dortmund

Last Six:
Last Game: Dortmund 2-1 Hertha Berlin
Saturday, May 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Next Game: 1860 Munich vs. Dortmund
Friday, July 29 at 1am in DFB-Pokal

We said: Bayern Munich 4-2 Borussia Dortmund

 As has been the case in recent years, this looks set to be a hugely entertaining game on Saturday, with both sides tending to ignore defensive concerns to focus on an attacking mindset in past meetings. We believe that trend will continue here, with Bayern having too much for their visitors, who are missing a number of players and look incapable of being able to contain the threat of their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 66.08%. A draw had a probability of 18.4% and a win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 15.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.33%) and 1-0 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.34%), while for a Borussia Dortmund win it was 1-2 (4.35%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.

Result
Bayern MunichDrawBorussia Dortmund
66.08%18.43%15.48%
Both teams to score 58.39%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.42%34.57%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.48%56.51%
Bayern Munich Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.24%9.75%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
67.54%32.45%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.7%35.29%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.95%72.05%
Score Analysis
    Bayern Munich 66.08%
    Borussia Dortmund 15.48%
    Draw 18.43%
Bayern MunichDrawBorussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 9.71%
2-0 @ 9.33%
1-0 @ 8.01%
3-1 @ 7.54%
3-0 @ 7.24%
4-1 @ 4.39%
4-0 @ 4.21%
3-2 @ 3.92%
4-2 @ 2.28%
5-1 @ 2.04%
5-0 @ 1.96%
5-2 @ 1.06%
Other @ 4.39%
Total : 66.08%
1-1 @ 8.34%
2-2 @ 5.06%
0-0 @ 3.44%
3-3 @ 1.36%
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 18.43%
1-2 @ 4.35%
0-1 @ 3.58%
0-2 @ 1.87%
2-3 @ 1.76%
1-3 @ 1.51%
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 15.48%

How you voted: Bayern vs Dortmund

Bayern Munich
71.0%
Draw
10.0%
Borussia Dortmund
19.0%
100
Head to Head
Dec 4, 2021 5.30pm
Dortmund
2-3
Bayern
Brandt (5'), Braut Haaland (48')
Can (51'), Rose (55'), Rose (78'), Bellingham (86')
Lewandowski (9', 77'), Coman (44')
Lewandowski (88'), Upamecano (90+5')
Aug 17, 2021 7.30pm
Dortmund
1-3
Bayern
Reus (64')
Reus (25'), Dahoud (32')
Lewandowski (41', 74'), Muller (50')
Sule (23'), Sane (83'), Maxim Choupo-Moting (90+3')
Mar 6, 2021 5.30pm
Bayern
4-2
Dortmund
Lewandowski (26', 44' pen., 90'), Goretzka (88')
Lewandowski (28')
Braut Haaland (2', 9')
Meunier (29')
> Preview
Nov 7, 2020 5.30pm
Dortmund
2-3
Bayern
Reus (45'), Braut Haaland (83')
Delaney (45+3'), Witsel (90+1')
Alaba (45+4'), Lewandowski (48'), Sane (80')
Kimmich (36'), Lewandowski (82')
Sep 30, 2020 7.30pm
Bayern
3-2
Dortmund
Tolisso (18'), Muller (32'), Kimmich (82')
Hernandez (66')
Brandt (39'), Braut Haaland (55')
rhs 2.0
Todays Game Header Right
Result
Alcaraz
Sinner
77 4 2
64 6 6
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern26167376294755
2Borussia DortmundDortmund26172757352253
3Union BerlinUnion Berlin26156541281351
4Freiburg2613853935447
5RB Leipzig26136749331645
6Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt26118747371041
7Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen26124104840840
8Mainz 05Mainz2611784336740
9Wolfsburg26109746341239
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach2587104044-431
11Werder Bremen2594123948-931
12Augsburg2685133447-1329
13FC Koln2569103344-1127
14VfL BochumVfL Bochum2682162857-2926
15Hoffenheim2564153345-1222
16Hertha Berlin2657143149-1822
17Schalke 04Schalke2649132148-2721
18Stuttgart2648142945-1620
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