| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Augsburg | 34 | -17 | 38 | 
| 15 | Stuttgart | 34 | -18 | 33 | 
| 16 | Hertha Berlin | 34 | -34 | 33 | 
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern Munich | 34 | 60 | 77 | 
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 33 | 69 | 
| 3 | Bayer Leverkusen | 34 | 33 | 64 | 
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 56.92%. A win for Stuttgart had a probability of 22.25% and a draw had a probability of 20.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.72%) and 0-1 (7.34%). The likeliest Stuttgart win was 2-1 (5.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.19%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Stuttgart | Draw | Borussia Dortmund | 
| 22.25% | 20.83% | 56.92% | 
| Both teams to score 62.7% | 
| Goals | 
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 
| 65.16% | 34.84% | 
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 | 
| 43.19% | 56.81% | 
| Stuttgart Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 71.42% | 28.58% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 35.62% | 64.38% | 
| Borussia Dortmund Goals | 
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 | 
| 87.79% | 12.21% | 
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 62.12% | 37.88% | 
| Score Analysis | 
| Stuttgart | Draw | Borussia Dortmund | 
| 2-1 @ 5.75% 1-0 @ 4.37% 2-0 @ 2.74% 3-2 @ 2.53% 3-1 @ 2.4% 3-0 @ 1.14% Other @ 3.32% Total : 22.25% | 1-1 @ 9.19% 2-2 @ 6.05% 0-0 @ 3.49% 3-3 @ 1.77% Other @ 0.33% Total : 20.83% | 1-2 @ 9.66% 0-2 @ 7.72% 0-1 @ 7.34% 1-3 @ 6.78% 0-3 @ 5.41% 2-3 @ 4.24% 1-4 @ 3.56% 0-4 @ 2.85% 2-4 @ 2.23% 1-5 @ 1.5% 0-5 @ 1.2% 2-5 @ 0.94% 3-4 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.57% Total : 56.92% | 
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 78 | 30 | 48 | 59 | 
| 2 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 28 | 18 | 3 | 7 | 62 | 39 | 23 | 57 | 
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | 53 | 35 | 18 | 51 | 
| 4 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 27 | 15 | 6 | 6 | 42 | 30 | 12 | 51 | 
| 5 | Freiburg | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 47 | 
| 6 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 51 | 41 | 10 | 43 | 
| 7 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 49 | 41 | 8 | 42 | 
| 8 | Mainz 05Mainz | 28 | 11 | 9 | 8 | 46 | 39 | 7 | 42 | 
| 9 | Wolfsburg | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 46 | 36 | 10 | 39 | 
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | 43 | 45 | -2 | 36 | 
| 11 | FC Koln | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 37 | 46 | -9 | 32 | 
| 12 | Werder Bremen | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 32 | 
| 13 | Hoffenheim | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 38 | 47 | -9 | 29 | 
| 14 | Augsburg | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 29 | 
| 15 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 27 | 8 | 2 | 17 | 30 | 60 | -30 | 26 | 
| 16 | Stuttgart | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 35 | 50 | -15 | 24 | 
| 17 | Schalke 04Schalke | 28 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 24 | 
| 18 | Hertha Berlin | 28 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 33 | 55 | -22 | 22 | 
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