

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 65.82%. A draw had a probability of 17.8% and a win for Stuttgart had a probability of 16.41%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.92%) and 3-1 (7.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.53%), while for a Stuttgart win it was 1-2 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 65.82% ( | 17.77% ( | 16.41% ( |
| Both teams to score 63.44% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.76% ( | 29.24% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.73% ( | 50.27% ( |
| Bayern Munich Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.63% ( | 8.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 70.86% ( | 29.14% ( |
| Stuttgart Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.24% ( | 30.77% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 32.97% ( | 67.03% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Bayern Munich | Draw | Stuttgart |
| 2-1 @ 9.34% ( 2-0 @ 7.92% ( 3-1 @ 7.72% ( 3-0 @ 6.55% ( 1-0 @ 6.39% ( 4-1 @ 4.79% ( 3-2 @ 4.55% ( 4-0 @ 4.06% ( 4-2 @ 2.82% ( 5-1 @ 2.38% ( 5-0 @ 2.02% ( 5-2 @ 1.4% ( 4-3 @ 1.11% ( 6-1 @ 0.98% ( Other @ 3.8% Total : 65.82% | 1-1 @ 7.53% ( 2-2 @ 5.5% ( 0-0 @ 2.58% ( 3-3 @ 1.79% ( Other @ 0.37% Total : 17.77% | 1-2 @ 4.44% ( 0-1 @ 3.04% ( 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0-2 @ 1.79% ( 1-3 @ 1.74% ( Other @ 3.24% Total : 16.41% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| C | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 99 | 32 | 67 | 82 |
| 2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 19 | 12 | 3 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 69 |
| 3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 68 | 46 | 22 | 60 |
| 4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 17 | 6 | 11 | 71 | 51 | 20 | 57 |
| 5 | Freiburg | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 49 | 53 | -4 | 55 |
| 6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 55 | 43 | 12 | 52 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 13 | 12 | 9 | 53 | 48 | 5 | 51 |
| 8 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 54 | 57 | -3 | 51 |
| 9 | Stuttgart | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 64 | 53 | 11 | 50 |
| 10 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 13 | 6 | 15 | 55 | 57 | -2 | 45 |
| 11 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 56 | 54 | 2 | 43 |
| 12 | Augsburg | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 43 |
| 13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 35 | 51 | -16 | 40 |
| 14 | St Pauli | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 28 | 41 | -13 | 32 |
| 15 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 46 | 68 | -22 | 32 |
| 16 | Heidenheim | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 64 | -27 | 29 |
| R | Holstein Kiel | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 49 | 80 | -31 | 25 |
| R | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 6 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 67 | -34 | 25 |
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